Browns vs. Commanders Picks & Best Bets 6th Oct 2024: NFL Week 5 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Washington Commanders will take on the Cleveland Browns in NFL action on Sunday at Northwest Stadium, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to reveal the best Browns vs. Commanders bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Commanders will likely beat the Browns with a projected final score of 23-20.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Browns vs. Commanders Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Browns vs. Commanders picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Browns vs. Commanders Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, October 6th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Northwest Stadium
- Spread: Browns +3 / Commanders -3
- Moneyline: Browns +142 / Commanders -155
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 43.5 Points (-110/-108)
Browns +3 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, both the Browns and Commanders have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Browns +3 due to BetMGM's more favorable odds of -105.
Total Points Over 43.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis shows a 55% likelihood that the total will go over 43.5 points, providing an edge of 2.2%.
Browns vs. Commanders Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cleveland Browns at +142 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Washington Commanders are available at -155 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Commanders are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 63% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Commanders also present the best betting value, with the odds of -155 available at DraftKings Sportsbook for an edge of 2.2%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Browns vs. Commanders
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Browns vs. Commanders game.
Cleveland Browns Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Jerome Ford | 45 yds | 31% |
Deshaun Watson | 24 yds | 31% |
D'Onta Foreman | 23 yds | 14% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Amari Cooper | 62 yds | 38% |
Jerry Jeudy | 48 yds | 30% |
David Njoku | 36 yds | 26% |
Jordan Akins Under 16.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Jordan Akins Under 16.5 Receiving Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Browns is for Jordan Akins to record under 16.5 receiving yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 74.2%, giving us an edge of 21.8% on the -110 odds offered by DraftKings.
Washington Commanders Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Brian Robinson | 60 yds | 46% |
Jayden Daniels | 45 yds | 47% |
Austin Ekeler | 19 yds | 30% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Terry McLaurin | 63 yds | 39% |
Olamide Zaccheaus | 32 yds | 20% |
Zach Ertz | 24 yds | 15% |
Jayden Daniels Under 51.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Jayden Daniels Under 51.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Commanders is for Jayden Daniels to record under 51.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 72.3%, giving us an edge of 19.9% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Browns vs. Commanders Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Browns vs. Commanders trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
David Njoku Over 35.5 Receiving Yards
David Njoku has recorded more than 35.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 5 games (100% of the time). You can wager on him to record 36+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Deshaun Watson Over 4.5 Rushing Attempts
Deshaun Watson has had more than 4.5 rushing attempts in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 4.5 rushing attempts again at odds of -145 (59%), also available at Bet365.
Jordan Akins Over 16.5 Receiving Yards
Jordan Akins has had more than 16.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 7 games (71%). You can wager on him to record over 16.5 receiving yards again at odds of -120 (55%), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jordan Akins of the Browns to record Receiving Yards 16.5 receiving yards, with an edge of 21.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Browns +3 to cover.
Beyond our Browns vs. Commanders predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets and dive into NFL sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.