Broncos vs. Saints Picks & Best Bets 17th Oct 2024: NFL Week 7 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New Orleans Saints will host the Denver Broncos in NFL action on Thursday at Caesars Superdome, beginning at 8:15 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Broncos vs. Saints bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Broncos will likely beat the Saints with a projected final score of 19-18.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Broncos vs. Saints Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Broncos vs. Saints picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Broncos vs. Saints Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, October 17th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome
- Spread: Broncos -2.5 / Saints +2.5
- Moneyline: Broncos -142 / Saints +125
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 37.5 Points (-102/-120)
Saints +2.5 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Saints have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the Broncos have a probability of 42%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -102 for the Saints +2.5, providing a favorable 7.7% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 37.5 @ -102 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 37.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -102.
- Our analysis shows a 52% probability that the total will go over 37.5 points, providing an edge of 1.8%.
Broncos vs. Saints Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Denver Broncos at -142 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the New Orleans Saints are available at +125 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Broncos are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 57% chance of prevailing.
Although the Broncos are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +125 odds on the Saints moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Broncos vs. Saints
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Thursday's Broncos vs. Saints matchup.
Denver Broncos Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | 45 yds | 38% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 29 yds | 25% |
| Bo Nix | 19 yds | 21% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 60 yds | 41% |
| Devaughn Vele | 40 yds | 22% |
| Troy Franklin | 22 yds | 17% |
Jaleel McLaughlin Over 19.5 Rushing Yards (+100)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaleel McLaughlin Over 19.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +100 |
- Our top prop bet for the Broncos is for Jaleel McLaughlin to record over 19.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 77.3%, providing an edge of 27.3% on the +100 odds offered by DraftKings.
New Orleans Saints Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 67 yds | 43% |
| Spencer Rattler | 20 yds | 37% |
| Kendre Miller | 11 yds | 8% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Bub Means | 44 yds | 17% |
| Cedrick Wilson | 30 yds | 11% |
| Alvin Kamara | 30 yds | 43% |
Alvin Kamara Under 36.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara Under 36.5 Receiving Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Saints is for Alvin Kamara to record under 36.5 receiving yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 70.8%, providing an edge of 17.3% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Broncos vs. Saints Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Broncos vs. Saints trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Alvin Kamara Over 33.5 Receiving Yards
Alvin Kamara has recorded more than 33.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80% success rate). You can bet on him to record 34+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Alvin Kamara Over 70.5 Rushing Yards
Alvin Kamara has had more than 70.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 6 games (67%). You can place a bet on him to record over 70.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Rashid Shaheed Over 42.5 Receiving Yards
Rashid Shaheed has had more than 42.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 7 appearances (71%). You can wager on him to record over 42.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jaleel McLaughlin of the Broncos to record Rushing Yards 19.5 rushing yards, with a projection of 29 rushing yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Saints +2.5 to cover.
In addition to our Broncos vs. Saints predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NFL bets tonight and dive into our NFL expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
The people behind this page
DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online.
BettingOdds.com takes no responsibility for your actions.
