Broncos vs. Jets Picks & Best Bets 29th Sep 2024: NFL Week 4 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New York Jets will take on the Denver Broncos in NFL action on Sunday at MetLife Stadium, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Broncos vs. Jets bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Jets will likely defeat the Broncos with a projected final score of 23-16.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Broncos vs. Jets Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Broncos vs. Jets picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Broncos vs. Jets Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, September 29th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: MetLife Stadium
- Spread: Broncos +8 / Jets -8
- Moneyline: Broncos +350 / Jets -375
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 39.5 Points (-108/-110)
Broncos +8 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Broncos have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the Jets have a probability of 46%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -108 for the Broncos +8, providing a favorable 2.3% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 39.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 39.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -108.
- Our analysis shows a slightly higher chance of the 39.5-point total going over.
Broncos vs. Jets Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Denver Broncos at +350 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the New York Jets are available at -375 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Jets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 78% chance of coming out on top.
Even though the Jets are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +350 odds on the Broncos moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Broncos vs. Jets
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Broncos vs. Jets game.
Denver Broncos Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | 37 yds | 25% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 32 yds | 21% |
| Bo Nix | 19 yds | 14% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 49 yds | 32% |
| Josh Reynolds | 34 yds | 20% |
| Greg Dulcich | 27 yds | 14% |
Bo Nix Under 25.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix Under 25.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Broncos is for Bo Nix to record under 25.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 75.5%, providing an edge of 23.2% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
New York Jets Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall | 74 yds | 57% |
| Braelon Allen | 31 yds | 29% |
| Aaron Rodgers | 9 yds | 13% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson | 73 yds | 40% |
| Tyler Conklin | 34 yds | 20% |
| Breece Hall | 31 yds | 57% |
Braelon Allen Under 35.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braelon Allen Under 35.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -105 |
- Our best prop bet for the Jets is for Braelon Allen to record under 35.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 72.0%, giving us an edge of 20.7% on the -105 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Broncos vs. Jets Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Broncos vs. Jets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jeremy Ruckert Over 5.5 Receiving Yards
Jeremy Ruckert has recorded more than 5.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 8 games (88% success rate). You can put money on him to go over 5.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Mike Williams Over 29.5 Receiving Yards
Mike Williams has had more than 29.5 receiving yards in 9 of his last 10 games (90%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 29.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Josh Reynolds Over 24.5 Receiving Yards
Josh Reynolds has had more than 24.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 6 games (100%). You can bet on him to record over 24.5 receiving yards again at odds of -105 (51%), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Bo Nix of the Broncos to record Rushing Yards 25.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 23.2% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Broncos +8 to cover.
Beyond our Broncos vs. Jets predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds for today and insightful NFL computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online NFL betting sites.
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