Broncos vs. Chiefs Picks & Best Bets 10th Nov 2024: NFL Week 10 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Kansas City Chiefs will meet the Denver Broncos in NFL action on Sunday at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Broncos vs. Chiefs bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Chiefs will likely beat the Broncos with a projected final score of 24-17.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Broncos vs. Chiefs Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Broncos vs. Chiefs picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Broncos vs. Chiefs Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 10th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
- Spread: Broncos +7.5 / Chiefs -7.5
- Moneyline: Broncos +300 / Chiefs -350
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 42.5 Points (-105/-110)
Chiefs -7.5 @ -102 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Broncos and Chiefs have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Chiefs -7.5 based on FanDuel Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -102.
Total Points Over 42.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis suggests a slightly higher likelihood that the total will go over 42.5 points.
Broncos vs. Chiefs Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Denver Broncos at +300 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Kansas City Chiefs are available at -350 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Chiefs are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 76% chance of victory.
Even though the Chiefs are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +300 odds on the Broncos moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Broncos vs. Chiefs
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Broncos vs. Chiefs game.
Denver Broncos Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | 45 yds | 30% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 25 yds | 16% |
| Bo Nix | 19 yds | 23% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 59 yds | 32% |
| Troy Franklin | 31 yds | 16% |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | 29 yds | 15% |
Jaleel McLaughlin Over 13.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaleel McLaughlin Over 13.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -120 |
- Our top prop bet for the Broncos is for Jaleel McLaughlin to record over 13.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 83.3%, providing an edge of 28.7% on the -120 odds offered by DraftKings.
Kansas City Chiefs Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Kareem Hunt | 81 yds | 57% |
| Patrick Mahomes | 19 yds | 16% |
| Carson Steele | 9 yds | 6% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 66 yds | 40% |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 62 yds | 34% |
| Xavier Worthy | 42 yds | 27% |
Carson Steele Under 11.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Steele Under 11.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Chiefs is for Carson Steele to record under 11.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 72.8%, giving us an edge of 20.5% on the -110 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Broncos vs. Chiefs Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Broncos vs. Chiefs trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Samaje Perine Over 7.5 Receiving Yards
Samaje Perine has recorded more than 7.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 appearances (83% of the time). You can bet on him to go over 7.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Javonte Williams Over 35.5 Rushing Yards
Javonte Williams has had more than 35.5 rushing yards in 5 of his last 6 appearances (83%). You can place a bet on him to record over 35.5 rushing yards again at odds of -105 (51%), also available at Bet365.
Javonte Williams Over 10.5 Rushing Attempts
Javonte Williams has had more than 10.5 rushing attempts in 5 of his last 6 appearances (83%). You can bet on him to record over 10.5 rushing attempts again at odds of +110 (48%), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jaleel McLaughlin of the Broncos to record Rushing Yards 13.5 rushing yards, with a projection of 25 rushing yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Chiefs -7.5 to cover.
Beyond our Broncos vs. Chiefs predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets today and dive into our NFL expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online NFL betting sites.
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