Broncos vs. Chargers Picks & Best Bets 19th Dec 2024: NFL Week 16 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Los Angeles Chargers will face the Denver Broncos in NFL action on Thursday at SoFi Stadium, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Thursday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Broncos vs. Chargers bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Chargers will likely win with a projected final score of 21-19.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Broncos vs. Chargers Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Broncos vs. Chargers picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Broncos vs. Chargers Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, December 19th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: SoFi Stadium
- Spread: Broncos +3 / Chargers -3
- Moneyline: Broncos +130 / Chargers -150
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 41.5 Points (-110/-110)
Broncos +3 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Broncos have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the Chargers have a probability of 42%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -118 for the Broncos +3, providing a favorable 4.1% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 41.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 41.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis indicates a slightly higher probability of the 41.5-point total staying under.
Broncos vs. Chargers Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Denver Broncos at +130 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Los Angeles Chargers are available at -150 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Chargers are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 59% chance of victory.
Additionally, the Chargers present the best betting value, with the odds of -150 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Broncos vs. Chargers
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Thursday's Broncos vs. Chargers matchup.
Denver Broncos Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | 38 yds | 32% |
| Audric Estime | 36 yds | 24% |
| Bo Nix | 20 yds | 18% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 68 yds | 44% |
| Devaughn Vele | 40 yds | 24% |
| Marvin Mims | 31 yds | 16% |
Audric Estime Over 27.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Audric Estime Over 27.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Broncos is for Audric Estime to record over 27.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 74.1%, giving us an edge of 21.7% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
Los Angeles Chargers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Gus Edwards | 38 yds | 32% |
| Kimani Vidal | 32 yds | 27% |
| Justin Herbert | 14 yds | 22% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Ladd McConkey | 60 yds | 35% |
| Quentin Johnston | 36 yds | 29% |
| Joshua Palmer | 29 yds | 19% |
Stone Smartt Under 3.5 Receptions (-135)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stone Smartt Under 3.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -135 |
- Our best prop bet for the Chargers is for Stone Smartt to record under 3.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 79.9%, giving us an edge of 22.5% on the -135 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Broncos vs. Chargers Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Broncos vs. Chargers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Lucas Krull Over 7.5 Receiving Yards
Lucas Krull has recorded more than 7.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 7 games (86% success rate). You can wager on him to record 8+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Courtland Sutton Over 64.5 Receiving Yards
Courtland Sutton has had more than 64.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 7 appearances (86%). You can place a bet on him to record over 64.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Quentin Johnston Over 37.5 Receiving Yards
Quentin Johnston has had more than 37.5 receiving yards in 3 of his last 5 appearances (60%). You can bet on him to record over 37.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Stone Smartt of the Chargers to record Receptions 3.5 receptions, with an edge of 22.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Broncos +3 to cover.
Beyond our Broncos vs. Chargers predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL betting odds and insightful NFL computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets today and dive into NFL sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
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