Broncos vs. Bengals Picks & Best Bets 28th Dec 2024: NFL Week 17 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Cincinnati Bengals will go up against the Denver Broncos in NFL action on Saturday at Paycor Stadium, beginning at 4:30 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Broncos vs. Bengals bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Bengals will likely beat the Broncos with a projected final score of 27-23.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Broncos vs. Bengals Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Broncos vs. Bengals picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Broncos vs. Bengals Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, December 28th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycor Stadium
- Spread: Broncos +3.5 / Bengals -3.5
- Moneyline: Broncos +156 / Bengals -180
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 50.5 Points (-110/-105)
Bengals -3.5 @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Broncos and Bengals have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Bengals -3.5 because of DraftKings Sportsbook's more favorable odds of +100.
Total Points Over 50.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis shows a 54% chance that the total will go over 50.5 points, providing an edge of 1.8%.
Broncos vs. Bengals Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Denver Broncos at +156 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Cincinnati Bengals are available at -180 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Bengals are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 62% chance of prevailing.
Even though the Bengals are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +156 odds on the Broncos moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Broncos vs. Bengals
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Saturday's Broncos vs. Bengals game.
Denver Broncos Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Audric Estime | 36 yds | 31% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 28 yds | 24% |
| Javonte Williams | 22 yds | 25% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 70 yds | 40% |
| Devaughn Vele | 33 yds | 24% |
| Marvin Mims | 30 yds | 19% |
Marvin Mims Under 2.5 Receptions (+110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Mims Under 2.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Broncos is for Marvin Mims to record under 2.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 65.5%, giving us an edge of 17.9% on the +110 odds offered by DraftKings.
Cincinnati Bengals Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Brown | 87 yds | 58% |
| Khalil Herbert | 13 yds | 18% |
| Joe Burrow | 12 yds | 17% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | 78 yds | 55% |
| Tee Higgins | 78 yds | 43% |
| Andrei Iosivas | 35 yds | 23% |
Mike Gesicki Under 2.5 Receptions (-106)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Gesicki Under 2.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -106 |
- Our best prop bet for the Bengals is for Mike Gesicki to record under 2.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 68.4%, giving us an edge of 16.9% on the -106 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Broncos vs. Bengals Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Broncos vs. Bengals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Joe Burrow Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns
Joe Burrow has recorded more than 2.5 passing touchdowns in 7 of his last 7 games (100% of the time). You can bet on him to record 3+ passing touchdowns again at odds of +162 (38% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Marvin Mims Jr. Over 29.5 Receiving Yards
Marvin Mims Jr. has had more than 29.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 29.5 receiving yards again at odds of -105 (51%), available at DraftKings.
Lucas Krull Over 8.5 Receiving Yards
Lucas Krull has had more than 8.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 8 appearances (75%). You can bet on him to record over 8.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Marvin Mims of the Broncos to record Receptions 2.5 receptions, with an edge of 17.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Bengals -3.5 to cover.
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