Bills vs. Ravens Picks & Best Bets 29th Sep 2024: NFL Week 4 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Baltimore Ravens will meet the Buffalo Bills in NFL action on Sunday at M&T Bank Stadium, starting at 8:20 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Bills vs. Ravens bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Ravens will likely beat the Bills with a projected final score of 25-22.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Bills vs. Ravens Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Bills vs. Ravens picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Bills vs. Ravens Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, September 29th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: M&T Bank Stadium
- Spread: Bills +2.5 / Ravens -2.5
- Moneyline: Bills +130 / Ravens -135
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 47.5 Points (-110/-108)
Bills +2.5 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Bills and Ravens have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Bills +2.5 due to DraftKings Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -102.
Total Points Under 47.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -108.
- Our analysis indicates a slightly higher likelihood of the 47.5-point total staying under.
Bills vs. Ravens Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Buffalo Bills at +130 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Baltimore Ravens are available at -135 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Ravens are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 59% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Ravens also present the best betting value, with the odds of -135 available at DraftKings Sportsbook for an edge of 1.3%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Bills vs. Ravens
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Bills vs. Ravens game.
Buffalo Bills Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| James Cook | 67 yds | 39% |
| Josh Allen | 35 yds | 43% |
| Ray Davis | 19 yds | 12% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir | 55 yds | 28% |
| Dalton Kincaid | 39 yds | 22% |
| Keon Coleman | 37 yds | 22% |
James Cook Under 2.5 Receptions (+115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook Under 2.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +115 |
- Our top prop bet for the Bills is for James Cook to record under 2.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 68.2%, providing an edge of 21.7% on the +115 odds offered by DraftKings.
Baltimore Ravens Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 67 yds | 58% |
| Lamar Jackson | 51 yds | 35% |
| Justice Hill | 16 yds | 18% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Zay Flowers | 58 yds | 37% |
| Mark Andrews | 39 yds | 27% |
| Isaiah Likely | 32 yds | 22% |
Lamar Jackson Under 58.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson Under 58.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Ravens is for Lamar Jackson to record under 58.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.4%, giving us an edge of 21.0% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Bills vs. Ravens Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Bills vs. Ravens trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Josh Allen Over 30.5 Rushing Yards
Josh Allen has recorded more than 30.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 7 games (86% of the time). You can put money on him to record 31+ rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Nelson Agholor Over 10.5 Receiving Yards
Nelson Agholor has had more than 10.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 7 appearances (86%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 10.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at FanDuel.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Over 2.5 Receiving Yards
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has had more than 2.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 8 appearances (88%). You can wager on him to record over 2.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing James Cook of the Bills to record Receptions 2.5 receptions, with an edge of 21.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Bills +2.5 to cover.
In addition to our Bills vs. Ravens predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online NFL betting sites.
The people behind this page
DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online.
BettingOdds.com takes no responsibility for your actions.
