Bills vs. Lions Picks & Best Bets 15th Dec 2024: NFL Week 15 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Detroit Lions will host the Buffalo Bills in NFL action on Sunday at Ford Field, beginning at 4:25 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Bills vs. Lions bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Lions will likely defeat the Bills with a projected final score of 28-25.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Bills vs. Lions Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Bills vs. Lions picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Bills vs. Lions Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, December 15th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Location: Ford Field
- Spread: Bills +2.5 / Lions -2.5
- Moneyline: Bills +124 / Lions -140
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 55.5 Points (-112/-104)
Bills +2.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Bills and Lions have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Bills +2.5 because of DraftKings Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -105.
Total Points Under 55.5 @ -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 55.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -104.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% probability of the 55.5-point total staying under, providing an edge of 0.3%.
Bills vs. Lions Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Buffalo Bills at +124 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Detroit Lions are available at -140 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Lions are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 59% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Lions present the best betting value, with the odds of -140 available at BetMGM for an edge of 1.2%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Bills vs. Lions
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Bills vs. Lions game.
Buffalo Bills Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| James Cook | 70 yds | 42% |
| Josh Allen | 36 yds | 43% |
| Ray Davis | 16 yds | 14% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir | 66 yds | 29% |
| Amari Cooper | 57 yds | 30% |
| Dalton Kincaid | 43 yds | 21% |
Dalton Kincaid Over 3.5 Receptions (+116)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Kincaid Over 3.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +116 |
- Our top prop bet for the Bills is for Dalton Kincaid to record over 3.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 71.4%, providing an edge of 25.1% on the +116 odds offered by FanDuel.
Detroit Lions Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 65 yds | 53% |
| David Montgomery | 59 yds | 58% |
| Jared Goff | 7 yds | 12% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 74 yds | 42% |
| Jameson Williams | 48 yds | 34% |
| Sam LaPorta | 46 yds | 33% |
Jameson Williams Under 3.5 Receptions (+130)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jameson Williams Under 3.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +130 |
- Our best prop bet for the Lions is for Jameson Williams to record under 3.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 59.5%, giving us an edge of 16.0% on the +130 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Bills vs. Lions Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Bills vs. Lions trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Dalton Kincaid Over 30.5 Receiving Yards
Dalton Kincaid has recorded more than 30.5 receiving yards in 8 of his last 9 appearances (89% success rate). You can bet on him to record 31+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
David Montgomery Over 17.5 Receiving Yards
David Montgomery has had more than 17.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 6 games (100%). You can place a bet on him to record over 17.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Josh Allen Over 21.5 Passing Completions
Josh Allen has had more than 21.5 passing completions in 5 of his last 6 games (83%). You can bet on him to record over 21.5 passing completions again at odds of -114 (53%), available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Dalton Kincaid of the Bills to record Receptions 3.5 receptions, with an edge of 25.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Bills +2.5 to cover.
Beyond our Bills vs. Lions predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds for today and insightful NFL predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the NFL best bets today and dive into Kyle Odegard's NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
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