Bills vs. Jets Picks & Best Bets 14th Oct 2024: NFL Week 6 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New York Jets will take on the Buffalo Bills in NFL action on Monday at MetLife Stadium, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Monday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Bills vs. Jets bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Bills will likely beat the Jets with a projected final score of 21-19.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Bills vs. Jets Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Bills vs. Jets picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Bills vs. Jets Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, October 14th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: MetLife Stadium
- Spread: Bills -1 / Jets +1
- Moneyline: Bills -118 / Jets +100
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 42.5 Points (-110/-110)
Bills -1 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Bills have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the Jets have a probability of 45%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -112 for the Bills -1, presenting a favorable 2.4% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 42.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis suggests a 56% probability that the total will stay under 42.5 points, providing an edge of 3.2%.
Bills vs. Jets Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Buffalo Bills at -118 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the New York Jets are available at +100 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Bills are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 60% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Bills also present the best betting value, with the odds of -118 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 5.6%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Bills vs. Jets
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Monday's Bills vs. Jets game.
Buffalo Bills Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| James Cook | 63 yds | 37% |
| Josh Allen | 34 yds | 42% |
| Ray Davis | 14 yds | 10% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir | 54 yds | 27% |
| Dalton Kincaid | 37 yds | 23% |
| Keon Coleman | 36 yds | 21% |
Keon Coleman Over 0.5 Rushing Yards (+950)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Coleman Over 0.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +950 |
- Our top prop bet for the Bills is for Keon Coleman to record over 0.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 38.9%, providing an edge of 29.4% on the +950 odds offered by DraftKings.
New York Jets Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall | 55 yds | 43% |
| Braelon Allen | 40 yds | 26% |
| Aaron Rodgers | 9 yds | 11% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson | 74 yds | 35% |
| Allen Lazard | 41 yds | 29% |
| Tyler Conklin | 37 yds | 19% |
Tyler Conklin Over 25.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Conklin Over 25.5 Receiving Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Jets is for Tyler Conklin to record over 25.5 receiving yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 67.1%, providing an edge of 14.7% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Bills vs. Jets Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Bills vs. Jets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Khalil Shakir Over 32.5 Receiving Yards
Khalil Shakir has recorded more than 32.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 5 games (100% success rate). You can put money on him to go over 32.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Jeremy Ruckert Over 5.5 Receiving Yards
Jeremy Ruckert has had more than 5.5 receiving yards in 8 of his last 9 appearances (89%). You can place a bet on him to record over 5.5 receiving yards again at odds of +100 (50%), available at DraftKings.
Mike Williams Over 26.5 Receiving Yards
Mike Williams has had more than 26.5 receiving yards in 8 of his last 10 appearances (80%). You can wager on him to record over 26.5 receiving yards again at odds of +100 (50%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Keon Coleman of the Bills to record Rushing Yards 0.5 rushing yards, with a projection of 5 rushing yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Bills -1 to cover.
In addition to our Bills vs. Jets predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds tonight and insightful NFL predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets today and dive into Kyle Odegard's NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online NFL betting sites.
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