Bills vs. Dolphins Picks & Best Bets 12th Sep 2024: NFL Week 2 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Miami Dolphins will meet the Buffalo Bills in NFL action on Thursday at Hard Rock Stadium, beginning at 8:15 p.m. ET.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's NFL matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Bills vs. Dolphins bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Dolphins will likely defeat the Bills with a projected final score of 25-23.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Bills vs. Dolphins Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Bills vs. Dolphins picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Bills vs. Dolphins Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, September 12th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium
- Spread: Bills +2.5 / Dolphins -2.5
- Moneyline: Bills +120 / Dolphins -134
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 49 Points (-115/-105)
Bills +2.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, both the Bills and Dolphins have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Bills +2.5 due to BetMGM's more favorable odds of -105.
Total Points Under 49 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 49 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -105.
- Our analysis shows a 51% likelihood that the total will stay under 49 points, providing an edge of 0.2%.
Bills vs. Dolphins Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Buffalo Bills at +120 via BetMGM, whilst the Miami Dolphins are available at -134 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Dolphins are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 59% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Dolphins also present the best betting value, with the odds of -134 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 2.1%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Bills vs. Dolphins
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Thursday's Bills vs. Dolphins matchup.
Buffalo Bills Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| James Cook | 66 yds | 35% |
| Josh Allen | 37 yds | 45% |
| Ray Davis | 13 yds | 9% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir | 48 yds | 23% |
| Keon Coleman | 47 yds | 27% |
| Dalton Kincaid | 45 yds | 24% |
Josh Allen Under 38.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen Under 38.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Bills is for Josh Allen to record under 38.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 62.2%, giving us an edge of 9.8% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
Miami Dolphins Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 59 yds | 49% |
| Jeff Wilson | 31 yds | 31% |
| Jaylen Wright | 18 yds | 20% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | 98 yds | 51% |
| Jaylen Waddle | 68 yds | 32% |
| De'Von Achane | 29 yds | 49% |
Tua Tagovailoa Under 4.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tua Tagovailoa Under 4.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Dolphins is for Tua Tagovailoa to record under 4.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 61.4%, providing an edge of 9.0% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Bills vs. Dolphins Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Bills vs. Dolphins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Josh Allen Over 37.5 Rushing Yards
Josh Allen has recorded more than 37.5 rushing yards in 5 of his last 5 games (100% of the time). You can bet on him to go over 37.5 rushing yards again at odds of -105 (51% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Josh Allen Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts
Josh Allen has had more than 7.5 rushing attempts in 5 of his last 5 games (100%). You can place a wager on him to record over 7.5 rushing attempts again at odds of -114 (53%), available at FanDuel.
James Cook Over 14.5 Rushing Attempts
James Cook has had more than 14.5 rushing attempts in 6 of his last 7 appearances (86%). You can wager on him to record over 14.5 rushing attempts again at odds of -115 (53%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Josh Allen of the Bills to record Rushing Yards 38.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 9.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Bills +2.5 to cover.
Beyond our Bills vs. Dolphins predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds tonight and insightful NFL predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets today and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online NFL betting sites.
The people behind this page
DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online.
BettingOdds.com takes no responsibility for your actions.
