Bengals vs. Chargers Picks & Best Bets 17th Nov 2024: NFL Week 11 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Los Angeles Chargers will meet the Cincinnati Bengals in NFL action on Sunday at SoFi Stadium, starting at 8:20 p.m. ET.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Bengals vs. Chargers bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Chargers will likely win with a projected final score of 23-23.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Bengals vs. Chargers Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Bengals vs. Chargers picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Bengals vs. Chargers Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 17th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: SoFi Stadium
- Spread: Bengals +1 / Chargers -1
- Moneyline: Bengals +105 / Chargers -110
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 47.5 Points (-115/-105)
Chargers -1 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Bengals and Chargers have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Chargers -1 based on DraftKings Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -102.
Total Points Under 47.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -105.
- Our analysis shows a 53% probability that the total will stay under 47.5 points, providing an edge of 1.8%.
Bengals vs. Chargers Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cincinnati Bengals at +105 via BetMGM, whilst the Los Angeles Chargers are available at -110 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Chargers are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 53% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Chargers also present the best betting value, with the odds of -110 available at DraftKings Sportsbook for an edge of 0.6%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Bengals vs. Chargers
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Bengals vs. Chargers game.
Cincinnati Bengals Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Brown | 82 yds | 51% |
| Khalil Herbert | 17 yds | 18% |
| Joe Burrow | 12 yds | 18% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | 73 yds | 44% |
| Tee Higgins | 59 yds | 38% |
| Mike Gesicki | 30 yds | 21% |
Chase Brown Under 4.5 Receptions (-145)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Brown Under 4.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -145 |
- Our top prop bet for the Bengals is for Chase Brown to record under 4.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 79.1%, giving us an edge of 20.0% on the -145 odds offered by DraftKings.
Los Angeles Chargers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 89 yds | 48% |
| Gus Edwards | 32 yds | 29% |
| Justin Herbert | 14 yds | 25% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Ladd McConkey | 56 yds | 34% |
| Will Dissly | 36 yds | 25% |
| Quentin Johnston | 35 yds | 27% |
J.K. Dobbins Under 2.5 Receptions (+110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins Under 2.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Chargers is for J.K. Dobbins to record under 2.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 71.1%, giving us an edge of 23.5% on the +110 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Bengals vs. Chargers Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Bengals vs. Chargers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Joshua Palmer Over 28.5 Receiving Yards
Joshua Palmer has recorded more than 28.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 5 appearances (100% of the time). You can put money on him to record 29+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
J.K. Dobbins Over 12.5 Rushing Attempts
J.K. Dobbins has had more than 12.5 rushing attempts in 5 of his last 5 games (100%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 12.5 rushing attempts again at odds of +102 (50%), also available at FanDuel.
Justin Herbert Over 236.5 Passing Yards
Justin Herbert has had more than 236.5 passing yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can bet on him to record over 236.5 passing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing J.K. Dobbins of the Chargers to record Receptions 2.5 receptions, with an edge of 23.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Chargers -1 to cover.
Beyond our Bengals vs. Chargers predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NFL bets tonight and dive into our NFL expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NFL betting sites.
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