Bears vs. Lions Picks & Best Bets 28th Nov 2024: NFL Week 13 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Detroit Lions will meet the Chicago Bears in NFL action on Thursday at Ford Field, beginning at 12:30 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Bears vs. Lions bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Lions will likely defeat the Bears with a projected final score of 27-18.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Bears vs. Lions Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Bears vs. Lions picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Bears vs. Lions Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, November 28th, 2024
- Game Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Ford Field
- Spread: Bears +9.5 / Lions -9.5
- Moneyline: Bears +400 / Lions -500
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 47.5 Points (-112/-105)
Bears +9.5 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Bears have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Lions have a probability of 47%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -106 for the Bears +9.5, presenting a favorable 1.8% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 47.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -105.
- Our analysis indicates a 54% probability of the 47.5-point total staying under, providing an edge of 2.6%.
Bears vs. Lions Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Chicago Bears at +400 via BetMGM, whilst the Detroit Lions are available at -500 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Lions are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 78% chance of prevailing.
Although the Lions are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +400 odds on the Bears moneyline, providing an edge of 1.5%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Bears vs. Lions
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Thursday's Bears vs. Lions game.
Chicago Bears Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | 59 yds | 33% |
| Caleb Williams | 18 yds | 18% |
| Roschon Johnson | 17 yds | 34% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| DJ Moore | 73 yds | 32% |
| Keenan Allen | 51 yds | 30% |
| Rome Odunze | 46 yds | 28% |
Roschon Johnson Over 9.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roschon Johnson Over 9.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our top prop bet for the Bears is for Roschon Johnson to record over 9.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 70.0%, giving us an edge of 16.5% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
Detroit Lions Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 63 yds | 54% |
| David Montgomery | 60 yds | 62% |
| Jared Goff | 7 yds | 13% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 75 yds | 41% |
| Jameson Williams | 44 yds | 35% |
| Sam LaPorta | 37 yds | 30% |
Jahmyr Gibbs Under 75.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs Under 75.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Lions is for Jahmyr Gibbs to record under 75.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 81.9%, providing an edge of 28.4% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Bears vs. Lions Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Bears vs. Lions trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
D'Andre Swift Over 47.5 Rushing Yards
D'Andre Swift has recorded more than 47.5 rushing yards in 7 of his last 8 games (88% of the time). You can put money on him to record 48+ rushing yards again at odds of +100 (50% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Jameson Williams Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
Jameson Williams has had more than 49.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 games (83%). You can place a bet on him to record over 49.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at FanDuel.
Roschon Johnson Over 2.5 Receiving Yards
Roschon Johnson has had more than 2.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 appearances (83%). You can wager on him to record over 2.5 receiving yards again at odds of -115 (53%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jahmyr Gibbs of the Lions to record Rushing Yards 75.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 28.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Bears +9.5 to cover.
In addition to our Bears vs. Lions predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds tonight and insightful NFL expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets and dive into Kyle Odegard's NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NFL betting sites.
The people behind this page
DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online.
BettingOdds.com takes no responsibility for your actions.
