Bears vs. Colts Picks & Best Bets 22nd Sep 2024: NFL Week 3 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Indianapolis Colts will go up against the Chicago Bears in NFL action on Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We've performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Bears vs. Colts bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Colts will likely beat the Bears with a projected final score of 22-20.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Bears vs. Colts Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Bears vs. Colts picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Bears vs. Colts Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, September 22nd, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Lucas Oil Stadium
- Spread: Bears +2 / Colts -2
- Moneyline: Bears +114 / Colts -125
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 43.5 Points (-106/-110)
Bears +2 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Bears have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Colts have a probability of 48%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -108.
Total Points Under 43.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis suggests a 52% probability that the total will stay under 43.5 points.
Bears vs. Colts Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Chicago Bears at +114 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Indianapolis Colts are available at -125 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Colts are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 56% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Colts also present the best betting value, with the odds of -125 available at BetMGM for an edge of 0.1%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Bears vs. Colts
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Bears vs. Colts game.
Chicago Bears Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | 49 yds | 36% |
| Khalil Herbert | 21 yds | 25% |
| Caleb Williams | 19 yds | 25% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| DJ Moore | 73 yds | 41% |
| Rome Odunze | 42 yds | 29% |
| Cole Kmet | 29 yds | 22% |
Gerald Everett Under 1.5 Receptions (+106)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Everett Under 1.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +106 |
- Our top prop bet for the Bears is for Gerald Everett to record under 1.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 67.9%, giving us an edge of 19.4% on the +106 odds offered by FanDuel.
Indianapolis Colts Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 80 yds | 55% |
| Anthony Richardson | 50 yds | 50% |
| Trey Sermon | 7 yds | 4% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Pittman | 51 yds | 26% |
| Josh Downs | 46 yds | 22% |
| Alec Pierce | 30 yds | 16% |
Trey Sermon Under 8.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Sermon Under 8.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Colts is for Trey Sermon to record under 8.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.7%, giving us an edge of 21.4% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Bears vs. Colts Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Bears vs. Colts trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Cole Kmet Over 19.5 Receiving Yards
Cole Kmet has recorded more than 19.5 receiving yards in 9 of his last 10 appearances (90% of the time). You can bet on him to go over 19.5 receiving yards again at odds of -125 (56% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Josh Downs Over 30.5 Receiving Yards
Josh Downs has had more than 30.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can place a wager on him to record over 30.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Alec Pierce Over 29.5 Receiving Yards
Alec Pierce has had more than 29.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can bet on him to record over 29.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Trey Sermon of the Colts to record Rushing Yards 8.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 21.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Bears +2 to cover.
Beyond our Bears vs. Colts predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets and dive into our NFL expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NFL betting sites.
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