Top NFL Week 7 Predictions

Week 6 of the 2024 NFL regular season is in the rearview mirror, and for the first time all season, we didn't have massive upsets across the league, as favorites finally had a good week across the board. Road favorites finished 9-0 against the spread. 

Will NFL Week 7 be ruled by favorites once again, or will we underdogs barking once again? The action begins with an interesting matchup on Thursday Night Football, as the Denver Broncos will travel to New Orleans to take on a reeling Saints team in a pivotal early-season clash for both teams.

As we dive into the Week 7 slate head-on, it’s time to target our three best bets for this weekend’s excellent schedule of games. Our picks this week include a road underdog plus a couple of game totals that we trust to get it done. Let’s get into our picks and best bets for NFL Week 7. 

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

This number has come down a bit from the opener of 45.5, but there’s still a bit of value given the profile of both of these teams at the moment. The Philadelphia Eagles and New York Giants are teams that have the capability of putting up points given the talent that each team possesses on offense. However, neither team has been consistent enough to inspire any confidence that they’ll clear this total on Sunday.

On one side, the Eagles are coming off an uninspiring performance against a Cleveland Browns team that might be the worst unit in football, as long as Deshaun Watson is the quarterback. Philadelphia also suffered key injuries to offensive tackle Jordan Mailata and tight end Dallas Goedert, which should hamper its offense. On the other side, the Giants just struggled mightily against a poor Bengals defense at home. Even if New York gets Malik Nabers back in this game, we can expect head coach Brian Daboll to continue to keep the ball on the ground throughout this contest, meaning that the Giants are going to be extremely methodical in their approach once again. 

Given that the Eagles are likely going to force-feed another 20+ touches to Saquon Barkley out of the backfield as a way to mitigate an excellent Giants pass rush, this game should be played with fewer possessions than expected. All of this sets up nicely for a low-scoring game at MetLife Stadium.

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons

Life comes at you fast in the NFL, and no team understands that more right now than the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle was 3-0 just a few short weeks ago before dropping three consecutive games over an 11-day span. However, this sets up a nice “buy low” spot for the Seahawks in a game against an Atlanta Falcons team that has gone from being slightly undervalued to a bit overvalued in the market following three straight victories. 

The mini-bye following Thursday Night Football last week should do this Seattle team a world of good, as the Seahawks will have gotten a bit healthier on offense. Now, Geno Smith and company get to play another game in an indoor dome environment, a place where we just saw Smith and his offense thrive against the Detroit Lions back in Week 5. Smith has been excellent when in a clean pocket this season, and the Falcons' bottom-5 pass rush in football certainly shouldn’t be too much of a challenge for this rested Seattle offensive line. If Kenneth Walker is able to run the ball effectively, that should set Smith up for a big day in the play-action passing game. Let’s grab the three points with Seattle while we still can. 

Tennessee Titans vs Buffalo Bills

This is a somewhat difficult spot for the Bills on paper, as Buffalo is coming off a narrow victory over the Jets on Monday Night Football to seize firm control of the AFC East. On a short week against an underwhelming opponent, there could be some overlook here from Buffalo. However, the Bills' recent trade for wide receiver Amari Cooper gives this offense a much-needed weapon in the downfield passing game, so that has us shying away from taking the Titans in this one. 

Instead of focusing on the side, we’re going to look toward the total and play under 41.5 while we still can. After all, this Titans offense is a mess, particularly through the air. Will Levis just registered 3.8 yards per attempt in last week’s loss to a Colts defense that is 23rd in EPA per pass on the season. Conversely, the Bills sit at ninth in that same metric, and Buffalo has a trio of cornerbacks that are playing at a Pro Bowl level at the moment. That spells trouble for Tennessee’s offense on Sunday. On the other side, the Bills should just be content to run the ball and grind this game out, especially with an important road game in Seattle on deck. 

Additional Live Odds for Week 7

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