Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Picks & Best Bets: NFL Prediction Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Green Bay Packers have long ruled the NFC North, but the script has flipped this season. The Detroit Lions are the team that sits atop the division and enters their Turkey Day matchup with Green Bay as more than a touchdown favorite.

While the Lions are at home and unquestionably a better team, the Packers have been playing solid ball lately and may be able to keep this one close. The Lions cruised in the first matchup but a spread of 7.5 points feels a bit high. 

Check out my prediction along with some intriguing prop bets below.

• Game Date: Thursday, November 23rd, 2023
• Game Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• Spread: Lions -7.5 at FanDuel
• Moneyline: Packers +300; Lions -375
• Scoring Total: 46.5 points
• Location: Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan
• TV Channel: FOX

Our Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Betting Picks & Predictions

Green Bay Packers to cover the spread

• The Packers have an even point-differential and have only lost by more than one score twice this season
• QB Jordan Love has picked up his game the past two weeks with better touch on his passes, finishing in the top-10 of QBR each time.
• Jared Goff threw three interceptions and the Lions needed a late rally to beat the Bears last week

Total Points Over 46.5

• The Lions have a top-5 offense by DVOA and are averaging more than 27 points per game
• Packers quarterback Jordan Love has made major progress over the past three games and Green Bay will need to keep up on offense
• The game is being played in a dome, which takes away any weather concerns

Best Packers vs. Lions Moneyline Odds

Our Player Prop Picks for Packers vs. Lions

Packers QB Jordan Love Over 20.5 Pass Completions

• Love has averaged 22.7 completions and nearly 280 passing yards per game over his past three, with five touchdowns and two interceptions
• The Green Bay offense could rely on the passing attack after an injury to Aaron Jones last week
• The Packers will likely be throwing late as the Lions are solid favorites

Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs Over 27.5 Receiving Yards

• Gibbs has surpassed 27 receiving yards in each of his past four games
• David Montgomery should get the most rushing attempts but Gibbs will be on the field on many passing downs
• The Packers have to worry about the downfield passing game of Detroit, which should open up opportunities for checkdowns and screens

Lions QB Jared Goff Over 1.5 Pass TDs

• Goff has thrown for multiple touchdowns in four of his past six games
• The Lions have a great collection of skill players that can get open, and the offensive line is very good
• Detroit has scored 72 points in two games since its bye week and the offense should have another big day