NFL Parlay & Picks for Thanksgiving Day at +385 Odds
Posted: 16:04 Tuesday 21st November 2023
NFL Parlay Picks Today: Thanksgiving Day Parlay Bet @ +385 odds 11/23
Happy Turkey Day. It’s time to eat, watch football and make some NFL picks in between conversation with the in-laws. It’s a big day for the NFL with three games going back-to-back.
The best way to build the excitement? A daily parlay involving every one of the matchups. I picked two spreads and one moneyline for a potential payout at +385 odds.
Here are the three NFL picks I am combining, with the rationale below.
Spread: Green Bay Packers +7.5 (-110); Dallas Cowboys -11 (-110)
Moneyline: San Francisco 49ers ML (-300)
Parlay odds: +385 at BetMGM
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Leg 1: Green Bay Packers +7.5 at Detroit Lions
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Packers +7.5 | BetMGM | -110 |
- The Packers are giving up just 17.6 points per game since a 34-20 loss to the Lions in Week 4
- Packers QB Jordan Love was poor in the first meeting and has finished top-10 in Total QBR each of the past two weeks
- Green Bay has only lost two games this season by more than seven points
Leg 2: Dallas Cowboys -11 vs. Washington Commanders
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Cowboys -11 | BetMGM | -110 |
- The Cowboys are No. 3 in defensive efficiency and boast one of the best pass-rushes in the NFL
- Commanders QB Sam Howell has been sacked an NFL-high 51 times in 11 games this year
- Cowboys QB Dak Prescott is No. 2 in Total QBR and the Commanders are now without recently-traded d-linemen Montez Sweat and Chase Young
Leg 3: San Francisco 49ers moneyline at Seahawks
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| 49ers moneyline | BetMGM | -300 |
- The 49ers are No. 2 in Team DVOA and have a point-differential of plus-122, second-best in the NFL
- Seahawks QB Geno Smith was No. 7 in Total QBR last season but is down to No. 17 this year
- Seattle is a quality team playing at home so choosing the moneyline gives wiggle room with the spread
Thanksgiving Day Parlay Prediction
- Green Bay Packers +7.5
- Dallas Cowboys -11
- San Francisco 49ers ML
Odds: +385 at BetMGM
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