Trey Lance is a big wildcard in the 2021 NFL Draft
19:00 Saturday 24th April 2021 - 3 minute read
North Dakota State’s Trey Lance has certainly given general managers and draft analysts a lot to think about this draft process.
Lance has been all over the map in terms of where he could be drafted. For awhile, some thought he could go as high as third overall after the San Francisco moved up to No. 3, citing that Lance’s play style, taking a large number of his collegiate snaps from under center, something perfect for a Kyle Shanahan offense.
But those rumors have recently cooled in favor of players like Mac Jones and Justin Fields.
Currently I think Trey Lance will be drafted by the Denver Broncos. Many NFL analysts think that Denver’s roster is a just a quarterback away from being in playoff contention, as Drew Lock’s QBR has been among the league’s lowest since becoming a starter.
It’s also Denver Broncos General Manager George Paton’s first draft, and I could see him pulling the trigger on a guy like Lance. One thing I’ve always been keen on is that coaches and general managers want to draft the guys they like. There’s no point in going with the last guy’s players, even worse, being wrong with the last guy’s players. There’s a reason the guy before you isn’t there anymore, so if you’re going to fail as well, at least let it be with the players you like.
The Broncos could be in position to move up if quarterbacks start flying off the board to ensure they get at least one of the guys they like. I’m out on Lock and would rather get the new guy, whoever it may be, some reps with Denver’s talented receivers
There’s a few ways you can bet this. You could bet that exact playing position of Denver’s first pick to be a quarterback at -106.You could also bet Trey Lance to be drafted by Denver specifically at +200.
The only way I see Denver not taking a quarterback is if teams jump them and take all of them before No. 9, but even then, I think Paton would have the awareness for the situation and trade up themselves, as they have enough pieces on that roster to throw someone and a pick in a trade.
If they don’t go with a quarterback, I could see them trying to bolster their offensive line and take whoever is left between Oregon’s Penei Sewell and Northwestern’s Rashawn Slater. Only problem is, if the Carolina Panthers stay put, they’ll be in prime position to take one of those coveted offensive lineman and Denver is sitting there with no idea what to do. For a rookie GM like Paton, I would rather force the issue and establish exactly what I want rather than go with a wait-and-see approach and react instead of being the aggressor.
But I really like both props; Denver’s first pick to be a quarterback at -106 and Lance to Denver at +200. It’s interesting to note though, that the New England Patriots have the second-best odds to take Lance. With teams like Detroit and Carolina sitting ahead of Denver, New England could be the team that steals Lance away at +300.