Dolphins Over/Under Win Odds: Lean towards the over
With plenty of offensive talent - the Miami Dolphins could be one of the more fun teams to watch this but can they clear nine wins? Neil Monnery has a look...
Miami will go as far as second-year QB Tua Tagovailoa will take them. That is quite simply the conclusion to the question of how many wins Brian Flores’ men can put together in the 2021 season. I don’t think there are too many more important players to their team because the drop-off from him to Jacoby Brissett looks to be pretty significant.
Flores’ has commented recently that he’s looking forward to seeing the jump between his rookie year and his second campaign. Speaking to 560 WQAM he said on his QB...
“He’s more comfortable with just his surroundings, more comfortable being in a huddle, giving a cadence, going through his communication. Those little things that no one really talks about. He’s said this: He feels much more comfortable about doing those things. I think having a year under his belt will really help him.’
One thing that Tagovailoa can’t argue about is a lack of offensive weapons. He’s been reunited with his former Alabama teammate Jaylen Waddle. The #6 overall pick has electrifying speed who will scare the bejesus out of opposing defensive backs. 11 of his 20 career touchdowns went for 50+ yards. His ability to hang in the air and box out opposition defenders is outstanding. To put it simply - he has all the tools to be an outstanding WR1 in the league for an awfully long time.
Adding him to the WR room which already had Devante Parker in situ and another newcomer in Will Fuller V gives them some explosive talents to call upon. When you lump in the wonderful Mike Gesicki from the Tight End position - a player who can both make the tough catches across the middle and be a complete mis-match in the Red Zone - they should put up points - as long as their QB can get them the ball.
In the backfield - they don’t have a true RB1 but Savon Ahmed and Myles Gaskin are joined by Malcolm Brown - who has come over from the Los Angeles Rams in the off-season. Between them they should certainly be at least serviceable.
Schedule wise the slate isn’t the toughest. Trips to Tampa Bay and New Orleans will not be easy. Tennessee are a good team but trips to Vegas and Jacksonville are certainly winnable out of the division. Atlanta and Carolina come into town from the NFC East with Indy and Houston from the AFC South. The 17th game is the New York Giants and they are likely to be the betting favorites for that one.
The number of nine games seems about right and you can actually find both over and under nine games at odds against. So you could bet on both outcomes with different Sportsbooks to back both sides of the bet with profit.
PointsBet are at the time of writing offering +110 for Over with BetMGM offering +150 for under.
I would lean towards ten wins more than eight so I’m going with the over...but softly.