Kansas City Chiefs Over/Under Wins Odds 2021: We say go over

The Kansas City Chiefs are currently the betting favorite to lift the Vince Lombardi Trophy but can they beat their over/under number of 12 wins? Zach Rainey says yes...

See, I wasn’t as surprised as everyone else when the Kansas City Chiefs fell in the Super Bowl to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, I was surprised at the way they lost.

Heck, one of the least likely bets for the Super Bowl was for Patrick Mahomes to throw zero touchdowns. Tampa Bay had him running for his life with their elite group of pass-rushers and athletic linebackers.

The formula to beating Mahomes is no different than it was to beat the Patriots back in the day. If you can generate pressure rushing just four, it’s going to be a long day for the offense. That’s honestly the formula to beat any quarterback.

The Chiefs have moved on from both Mitchell Schwartz and Eric Fisher and will now rely on Orlando Brown Jr. at left tackle and Joe Thuney at guard.

I don’t expect the Super Bowl loss to change the Chiefs much. The world saw they’re a bit vulnerable, but not every team can generate pressure like Tampa Bay could and have the athletes to drop back into coverage to limit Kansas City’s playmakers down field.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire rushed for 803 yards in his rookie campaign, not bad, but not amazing either. He’s versatile though, as he added 26 receptions for 297 yards though the air.

Tyreek Hill, otherwise known as “Cheetah”, had a great year with 87 catches for 1,276 yards and 15 touchdowns. For any team in the NFL, those are spectacular numbers. On the Chiefs? Not even the best on his own team. Travis Kelce finished the year with 105 receptions for 1,416 yards and 11 touchdowns.

I’m actually hoping people underestimate the Chiefs this year. I still think they’re the class of the AFC, even though Baltimore, Buffalo and Cleveland will have something to say about that.

Chris Jones led the team with 7.5 sacks a year ago, with Frank Clark close behind with six.

Strong safety Daniel Sorensen was an unsung hero for the team, leading the way in forced fumbles. He also finished with 68 solo tackles, 20 more than Tyann Matheiu who was second on the team and was a First-Team All-Pro, despite starting in four less games.

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I have them winning against Cleveland in the opener but falling at Baltimore in Week 2.

They’ll defeat the Chargers at home in Week 3 and coast in Week 4 against the Eagles before falling in Week 5 to the Buffalo Bills.

After the loss, they’ll take six straight before going into the Bye at 9-2. In the six weeks after the Bye, I have them losing just one game at Los Angeles to the Chargers. The Chargers played the Chiefs close in Justin Herbert’s first start, and I think they’ll have enough to win it this year.

For those of you following along at home, that would put the Chiefs at 14-3 for the season.

The only games I could see going differently are the Ravens game and Bills, and they would go in favor of Kansas City.

Their win over-under is 12.5 with the over hovering around +120. I’ll take the over at plus money for the team I expect to be the No. 1 seed.