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Green Bay Packers Super Bowl Odds drift with Rodgers uncertainty

Aaron Rodgers winning the Super Bowl with the Packers this season is now as long as +1800
Aaron Rodgers winning the Super Bowl with the Packers this season is now as long as +1800
By Zachary Rainey

With the rumor mill is full flow about whether Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers will suit up for the team this upcoming season, Zach Rainey takes a look at whether the drifting odds provide good betting value in the Futures Markets...

Super Bowl Winner Odds

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
WIN PROB: 14%
1
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600
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550
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500
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500
Kansas City Chiefs
WIN PROB: 7%
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750
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700
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650
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475
Buffalo Bills
WIN PROB: 8%
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800
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700
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500
Los Angeles Rams
WIN PROB: 9%
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900
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850
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800
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650
Green Bay Packers
WIN PROB: 7%
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900
Arizona Cardinals
WIN PROB: 4%
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900
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850
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800
Baltimore Ravens
WIN PROB: 5%
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Dallas Cowboys
WIN PROB: 4%
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900
Tennessee Titans
WIN PROB: 4%
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New England Patriots
WIN PROB: 2%
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Los Angeles Chargers
WIN PROB: 3%
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Cleveland Browns
WIN PROB: 2%
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Indianapolis Colts
WIN PROB: 1%
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San Francisco 49ers
WIN PROB: 2%
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Minnesota Vikings
WIN PROB: 1%
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Pittsburgh Steelers
WIN PROB: 1%
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Cincinnati Bengals
WIN PROB: 0%
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Las Vegas Raiders
WIN PROB: 1%
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Philadelphia Eagles
WIN PROB: 0%
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Denver Broncos
WIN PROB: 1%
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New Orleans Saints
WIN PROB: 1%
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Seattle Seahawks
WIN PROB: 0%
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Carolina Panthers
WIN PROB: 0%
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Washington Football Team
WIN PROB: 0%
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Miami Dolphins
WIN PROB: 0%
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Atlanta Falcons
WIN PROB: 0%
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New York Giants
WIN PROB: 0%
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Chicago Bears
WIN PROB: 0%
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New York Jets
WIN PROB: 0%
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Jacksonville Jaguars
WIN PROB: 0%
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Houston Texans
WIN PROB: 0%
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Detroit Lions
WIN PROB: 0%
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Odds correct as of 2021-11-28 13:20 Odds subject to change.

Earlier, I did an article on how Vegas isn’t buying the hype that Aaron Rodgers will suit up for someone other than the Green Bay Packers next season.

However, according to PointsBet, it seems like Vegas has taken notice in terms of its Super Bowl odds.

Currently, PointsBet has the Green Bay Packers at +1800 to bring the Lombardi Trophy back to the Frozen Tundra.

That wouldn’t be bad odds if you didn’t look at the teams ahead of them. Rightfully so, Tampa Bay is the NFC’s favorite to win the Super Bowl at +600. The Los Angeles Rams are second at +1200.

After adding Matthew Stafford in the offseason in a trade with the Detroit Lions, I see how people could talk to themselves into the Rams, especially with their impenetrable defense. Does Stafford make them a Super Bowl contender? They certainly have the weapons to make a run, considering how far they made it last year. But with a gun to my head, I don’t think I could pick against the Packers.

The one that comes as the biggest shock to me, one I didn’t see coming was the San Francisco 49ers being ahead of the Packers with +1300 odds to win the Super Bowl. 

Super Bowl Odds

With Jimmy Garoppolo’s track record in the health department, I don’t think he plays enough games to return the 49ers to where they were two seasons ago, when they were a deep ball to Emmanuel Sanders away from hoisting the Lombardi Trophy.

I think that, if called upon, newly drafted quarterback Trey Lance would be a good fill in if he had to see action earlier than anticipated, saying that the rookie could lead them to the promised land is nuts. I get he’s almost perfect for their system. I get that I could have egg on my face at the end of this. But like I said above, with a gun to my head, I couldn’t bet Lance over Green Bay in January

The one I hear most is “well [Kyle] Shanahan brought his team to the Super Bowl only having to throw eight times.”

Yes, if the defense stays 100 percent healthy, and Nick Bosa can stay on the field, I get that they’ll be able to control the tempo most of the game and that that’s their goal, perhaps more than the average team, because that team is built to play from ahead.

At this point, it’s still to early in the Rodgers-Packers soap opera for me to make a confident pick in that department, and I’m sure Green Bay’s odds at the moment reflect the uncertainty. I just don’t want to take that now and then a month from now he’s on prime time for a game show and not the Green Bay Packers. 

NFL Odds

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Up to $1000 in 4 risk free bets
New Customers only, T&Cs apply ,21+, NJ only.
First bet matched up to $1001
New Customers Only, 21+, T&Cs apply, NJ only
Bet $50,get $50 (100% deposit match)
21+, T&Cs apply, please gamble responsibly, NJ only.
Up to $250 risk free bet
21+, NJ residents only, T&C's apply.
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21+, New customers only, T&Cs apply, NJ only.
Get $100 in free bets when you bet $20
Min $25 stake, New Plyrs, 21+, T&Cs apply.