Green Bay Packers Super Bowl Odds drift with Rodgers uncertainty

With the rumor mill is full flow about whether Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers will suit up for the team this upcoming season, Zach Rainey takes a look at whether the drifting odds provide good betting value in the Futures Markets...

Earlier, I did an article on how Vegas isn’t buying the hype that Aaron Rodgers will suit up for someone other than the Green Bay Packers next season.

However, according to PointsBet, it seems like Vegas has taken notice in terms of its Super Bowl odds.

Currently, PointsBet has the Green Bay Packers at +1800 to bring the Lombardi Trophy back to the Frozen Tundra.

That wouldn’t be bad odds if you didn’t look at the teams ahead of them. Rightfully so, Tampa Bay is the NFC’s favorite to win the Super Bowl at +600. The Los Angeles Rams are second at +1200.

After adding Matthew Stafford in the offseason in a trade with the Detroit Lions, I see how people could talk to themselves into the Rams, especially with their impenetrable defense. Does Stafford make them a Super Bowl contender? They certainly have the weapons to make a run, considering how far they made it last year. But with a gun to my head, I don’t think I could pick against the Packers.

The one that comes as the biggest shock to me, one I didn’t see coming was the San Francisco 49ers being ahead of the Packers with +1300 odds to win the Super Bowl. 

With Jimmy Garoppolo’s track record in the health department, I don’t think he plays enough games to return the 49ers to where they were two seasons ago, when they were a deep ball to Emmanuel Sanders away from hoisting the Lombardi Trophy.

I think that, if called upon, newly drafted quarterback Trey Lance would be a good fill in if he had to see action earlier than anticipated, saying that the rookie could lead them to the promised land is nuts. I get he’s almost perfect for their system. I get that I could have egg on my face at the end of this. But like I said above, with a gun to my head, I couldn’t bet Lance over Green Bay in January

The one I hear most is “well [Kyle] Shanahan brought his team to the Super Bowl only having to throw eight times.”

Yes, if the defense stays 100 percent healthy, and Nick Bosa can stay on the field, I get that they’ll be able to control the tempo most of the game and that that’s their goal, perhaps more than the average team, because that team is built to play from ahead.

At this point, it’s still to early in the Rodgers-Packers soap opera for me to make a confident pick in that department, and I’m sure Green Bay’s odds at the moment reflect the uncertainty. I just don’t want to take that now and then a month from now he’s on prime time for a game show and not the Green Bay Packers.