Green Bay Packers Over/Under Wins Odds 2021: Take the Over
The Aaron Rodgers controversy still rumbles on but even with that going on in the background, Zach Rainey has his eyes on over 11 wins for the Packers...
Everyone and their brother has been monitoring the Green Bay Packers’ situation with superstar quarterback Aaron Rodgers.
Over the past two seasons, Rodgers has made it known he’s unhappy, and Adam Schefter dropped the bomb on draft day that he wanted out of the Cheese State.
While Schefter came out and clarified later on that it was more of “an accumulation” than Rodgers flat out saying the words, tensions are high between the two parties.
There’s still some animosity between Rodgers and head coach Matt LaFleur after the Packers infamously not going for it on fourth down with the game on the line in the playoffs.
Since then, it’s looked like Rodgers has been enjoying life. He was seen with his fiance and group of friends in Hawaii instead of attending mini camp.
To make matters worse, the Packers once again did not draft a wide receiver for Rodgers like he wanted. He also is looking for the extension that will keep him in Green Bay for the rest of his career, as well as line his pockets long after.
For a guy who resented his predecessor Brett Favre so much, he has a lot of Favre-like qualities.
Outside of that soap opera, I think the Packers are in position to run it back. He’s led the team to a pair of 13-3 seasons and an NFL Most Valuable Player Award. Along the way, he threw 48 touchdowns to just five interceptions with a 70.7 completion rate. At Age 37, it was the best of his career.
1,100-yard rusher Jones returns to the backfield as a crucial part of the Packers offense. He was able to add 355 yards on 47 receptions as well.
Jamaal Williams is now gone, but the team is confident in what AJ Dillon brings after watching him dash through the snow in Week 16 for 124 yards and two touchdowns.
Last but not least, Davante Adams had 1,374 receiving yards and 18 touchdowns in just 14 games last season. Tight end Robert Tonyan proved to be one of Rodgers’ favorite red zone targets last season, hauling in 11 touchdown grabs.
David Bakhtiari will be back to defend Rodgers’ weakside next season after being injured late.
While he got torched against Tampa Bay, the Packers bring back Kevin King at corner to line up opposite Jaire Alexander. I think King rebounds nicely this year.
Up front, there’ not much that needs to be said other than Za’Darius Smith and Preston Smith. Sure, the team will miss Blake Martinez in the middle, but this defense is one of the more underrated in the league, especially with Adrian Amos at safety.
With Rodgers back of course, I have the Packers starting the season 8-0 before falling in Week 9 in what could be a Super Bowl preview when the Packers travel to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs.
After that, I have them defeating Seattle and Minnesota before falling to the Los Angeles Rams. If there’s any deficiencies on that offensive line, the Rams will find it in a heartbeat. Now that the Rams aren’t a defense-only team, I think they could muster up enough offense to get out of there with the win.
I think the Packers will fall one more time when they travel to Baltimore to take on Lamar Jackson and the Ravens, but win every game after that.
That still puts the Packers at 14-3.
Their over-under projection is 10.5, so there’s plenty of value to be had here.
Even if I was being too generous toward the MVP, the only games I could see them losing I had as wins is possibly at Arizona in Week 8, versus Seattle Week 10 and at home against Cleveland Week 16. Those might be 50/50 games, and there’s no way they all go against Green Bay. Even if they did, that would still put them at 11 wins to go over their projection of 10.5.
I’ll take the over.
