Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Burrow Prop Bet and Week 9 SNF Predictions, Picks and Odds

It may have taken a little bit of time, but the Cincinnati Bengals are once again looking like a prime contender in the AFC.

Joe Burrow and friends made a statement last week against the 49ers and can double up by knocking off the Buffalo Bills in a critical Sunday Night Football showdown in Week 9.

The Bills have been up-and-down this season but, like the Bengals, have the talent to make a deep postseason run. Playoff seeding is crucial in a stacked AFC so the winner of this game will get a nice boost.

The oddsmakers have anointed the Bengals as slight favorites in a game they believe either team could secure. Betting odds courtesy of BetMGM on November 3rd.

Spread: Bengals -1.5
Moneyline: Bengals -125; Bills +105
Scoring Total: 50.5 Points

Despite some inconsistent play of late the Bills are still No. 3 overall in the NFL in Team DVOA due to a high-powered offense. The Bengals lag behind in many season-long categories but much of that can be attributed to Burrow’s early-season injury.

The Cincinnati offense is flying high now and should take advantage of a Buffalo defense that is having some issues. The Bengals are the pick to win an entertaining affair.

Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals Betting Prediction

Burrow and the offense really struggled early on and the Bengals opened 1-3. But he’s turned it on during a current three-game winning streak, including an impressive 28-of-32 for 283 yards and three touchdowns in an upset of the 49ers last week.

Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd remain as good as it gets at wide receiver, and while it’s been a struggle for Higgins this season, it seems only a matter of time until he bounces back, and it could be Sunday against a Buffalo cornerback group that’s had some issues.

Bills quarterback Josh Allen actually leads the NFL in Total QBR, which seems to be lost among Buffalo’s up-and-down campaign.

He is completing a league-best 71.7 percent of his passes and has 17 passing touchdowns along with five rushing scores. Allen has thrown interceptions in each of his past four games and has eight on the year, but he’s done a good job of avoiding sacks.

I think Allen plays well in this game but gets outdueled by Burrow, who has turned a corner health-wise and is back to the elite quarterback we’ve seen the past couple of years.

Prediction: Bengals 28, Bills 24

Prop Bet Pick: Joe Burrow Over/Under 261.5 Passing Yards

Burrow has an over/under of 37.5 pass attempts, and if that holds accurate, he would only need to average around 7.0 yards per attempt to reach 262 yards.

Burrow’s efficiency is way down this season compared to his career mark, and even during this recent hot streak he’s only averaging 7.6 yards per attempt, but his track record indicates continued improvement there now that he’s back to his old self.

The Bengals are going to need to score points in this one, and there is no better way to do that than by relying on the arm of Burrow.

Prediction: Joe Burrow over 261.5 passing yards (-115 at BetMGM)

How to Watch Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals

The Cincinnati Bengals will host the Buffalo Bills at 8:15 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 5th, 2023 at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. The Sunday Night Football showdown can be seen on NBC.