Best NFL Week 11 Parlay Bets

Week 11 of the 2024 NFL campaign is here, kicking off with a Thursday Night Football showdown between the NFC East rival Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles. As intriguing as that contest is, it is merely an appetizer to the main course. Sunday sees the Pittsburgh Steelers host the Baltimore Ravens, and the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs visit the Buffalo Bills.

Let’s take a look at our favorite three-leg parlay for Week 11.

When the season started, the Bears probably figured to be in the mix for the NFC North crown heading into a Week 11 showdown against the division-rival Packers. However, that has not really turned out to be the case. Chicago has slumped to a 4-5 record, already 3.5 games behind the Detroit Lions. The Packers come in at 6-3 and have won 4 of their last 5 contests. 

Over the past decade or so, being just one game under .500 in Week 11 would be an impressive accomplishment for the Bears. However, expectations were high in the Windy City this time around due to the arrival of No. 1 overall pick Caleb Williams and an influx of some highly regarded free agents. Despite their new look, the Bears have underwhelmed, and offensive coordinator Shane Waldron just received his marching orders. 

This is a team in turmoil – one that you don’t want to back when it is getting only 5.5 points against a formidable foe in Green Bay. Moreover, the Packers are not only playing great right now, but they're also coming off a bye. Count on their winning ways to continue in a 6+ point victory.

It doesn’t get any better in Week 11 than Chiefs vs. Bills. They have had some close calls (and that’s an understatement), but the Chiefs remain the NFL’s only undefeated team at 9-0. At 8-2, the Bills are not too far behind and will keep themselves in contention for the AFC’s No. 1 seed if they can prevail on Sunday. 

Kansas City is simply finding ways to get the job done. It only gets more difficult with a road game against Buffalo, but at this point, it’s hard to bet against Patrick Mahomes. The star QB is especially dangerous as an underdog. He is 12-1-1 lifetime against the spread as an underdog, and he is even 11-3 straight up in such situations. 

As such, you should have no reservations about backing the Chiefs to cover and even win outright on Sunday. Mahomes has an awesome defense backing him up this season (just as he was in 2023). Defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo’s defense is top five in DVOA against the run, while Buffalo is without receiver Keon Coleman and will likely be missing pass-catchers Amari Cooper and Dalton Kincaid. Both the run game and the passing attack could struggle.

Speaking of Kansas City’s great escapes, Denver hopes to bounce back from being on the receiving end of one last weekend. The Broncos had a chip-shot field goal to win, but it got blocked on the game's last play – resulting in a 16-14 loss. Now they host the Falcons, who are 6-4 but coming off a rough setback against the New Orleans Saints. 

Denver played well last week, but its offense still doesn’t inspire any confidence. Head coach Sean Payton’s outfit has scored a total of 24 points in their previous two games and over the last three, it has averaged 3.2, 4.1 and 3.4 yards per rushing attempt. Even with a stout defense, Bo Nix and company may not produce enough points to keep with a potent Atlanta. If not for three missed field goals by Younghoe Koo against the Saints, the Falcons would be 7-3 overall and 6-1 in their last seven games.

NFL Parlay Picks

NFL Week 11 Parlays Summary 

We’re going with road warriors this weekend. Green Bay, Atlanta and Kansas City are all somewhere between good and outstanding – they are teams you can be encouraged by even in hostile environments. All things considered, this three-team parlay has great value at +819 odds.

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