Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bet Today: Chiefs vs. Ravens @ +550 odds on 1/28

Patrick Mahomes dazzled under the bright lights once again last week, putting together arguably his best performance of the season in a win over the Bills.

The Chiefs are underdogs again in the AFC Championship Game, and this is where I think the run ends. 

I like the Ravens’ moneyline along with some prop bets that forecast a good passing day for Lamar Jackson and some struggles for Mahomes through the air against Baltimore’s elite defense.

Check out my four-leg Same Game Parlay that pays out at +550 odds at BetMGM.

Moneyline: Ravens
Player prop bets: Patrick Mahomes under 249.5 passing yards; Zay Flowers over 29.5 receiving yards; Odell Beckham over 14.5 receiving yards
Parlay odds: +550 odds at BetMGM

Leg 1: Baltimore Ravens Moneyline

• The Ravens are No. 1 in Team DVOA and are superior to Kansas City in offensive, defensive and special teams efficiency
• Kansas City struggles against the run and that is Baltimore’s strength
• The Ravens play this game at home

Leg 2: Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes Under 249.5 Passing Yards

• Mahomes averaged 7.0 yards per pass attempt during the regular season, a career-low
• The Ravens were No. 1 in the NFL against the pass in 2024
• Even if Mahomes is efficient, the volume might be low because Baltimore is very run-heavy and shortens the game with all of its rushing attempts

Leg 3: Ravens WR Zay Flowers Over 29.5 Receiving Yards

• Flowers surpassed this number in 13 of 17 games this season
• The Chiefs have good cornerbacks but the volume could be there as Kansas City focuses on stopping the run
• Flowers will likely play 85% or more of the offensive snaps

Leg 4: Ravens WR Odell Beckham, Jr. Over 14.5 Receiving Yards

• Beckham only played in 29% of the offensive snaps against the Texans, but has big-game experience and could be relied on more
• Beckham would almost certainly surpass this number with two catches, and is enough of a downfield threat to do it in one
• The Chiefs may game-plan to keep Lamar Jackson in the pocket, which will benefit all of the Baltimore receivers