Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bet Today: Bills vs. Broncos @ +210 odds on 11/13
Posted: 18:12 Monday 13th November 2023
Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bet Today: Bills vs Broncos @ +210 odds on 11/13
The Buffalo Bills have struggled to live up to the billing at just 5-4 on the year, but the oddsmakers still believe in them. Buffalo is a touchdown favorite over the Denver Broncos (3-5) on Monday Night Football.
I don’t feel great about taking either side of that spread, and think a push is possible, so I combined NFL betting picks for a Same Game Parlay from BetMGM instead. It involves Buffalo winning the game, along with a Russell Wilson passing yards prop bet and a Stefon Diggs receiving yards prop. Both are alternate lines to increase the chances of hitting all three legs.
BetMGM is not shy about giving out odds boosts, and this Same Game Parlay benefits from that, pushing the odds from a +210 payout to +315. The max bet with the odds boost is $5, which would result in a total payout of $20.75.
Moneyline Bet: Buffalo Bills
Player Props Bets: Russell Wilson Over 194.5 Passing Yards; Stefon Diggs Under 104.5 Receiving Yards
Parlay odds: +210 at BetMGM
Check out my reasoning below.
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Leg 1: Buffalo Bills Moneyline
- Despite a mediocre record, the Bills are top-5 in Team DVOA and point-differential
- Josh Allen has been one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL this year
- The Broncos are 26th in Team DVOA
Leg 2: Broncos QB Russell Wilson Over 194.5 Passing Yards
- The Bills have allowed 224 passing yards or more in five of the past six games
- Russell Wilson has a low output of late but is averaging 6.9 yards per pass attempt and the volume should be there if the Broncos fall behind, as expected
- This gives us some breathing room as the standard over/under for Wilson's passing yardage sits at 212.5 yards
Leg 3: Bills WR Stefon Diggs Under 104.5 Receiving Yards
- Diggs has only reached 105 receiving yards in three of nine games this season
- Buffalo could take its foot off the gas and run the ball late if the lead is substantial
- Broncos All-Pro CB Patrick Surtain has given up an average of 45.6 receiving yards per game this season and could guard Diggs regularly
Same Game Parlay prediction: Bills moneyline + Wilson over 194.5 passing yards + Diggs under 104.5 receiving yards
Parlay Odds: +210 with a potential odds boost to +315 at BetMGM
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