Zach Edey, D.J. Burns, Jr. and DJ Horne Prop Bets for Purdue-North Carolina State Final Four
The Purdue men’s basketball team is widely expected to make the national championship game, entering its Final Four matchup as a 9-point favorite against North Carolina State.
The Boilermakers have -440 moneyline odds to emerge victorious while the Wolfpack are +340 to the pull the upset, per DraftKings.
Beyond the standard team wagers, there are some intriguing prop bets for this matchup. Let’s take a look at our three best bets involving Zach Edey, D.J. Burns, Jr. and DJ Horne.
Note: Many states in the U.S. do not allow wagering on college basketball props. The only options may be the spread, moneyline and scoring total.
Purdue C Zach Edey Over/Under 26.5 Points
Edey has been sensational in the NCAA Tournament, averaging 30.0 points and 16.3 rebounds while shooting 65.6% from the floor.
While a tough matchup with UConn big man Donovan Clingan potentially awaits in the title game, the Final Four should be easy pickings for Edey.
North Carolina State is just No. 44 in the nation in defensive efficiency and does not have the size inside to slow down Edey.
The Big Ten Player of the Year is averaging 25.0 points per game this season, and he should dominate this matchup. Foul trouble is the chief concern, but Edey generally does a good job of staying in games, so as long as the minutes are there, the points should come in bunches.
Best bet: Purdue F Zach Edey over 26.5 points (-120 odds at DraftKings)
N.C. State F D.J. Burns, Jr. Over/Under 4.5 Rebounds
Burns is 6-foot-9 and has been one of the darlings of March Madness.
The N.C. State big man had 29 points in an Elite Eight upset of Duke, and there is speculation the NFL could come calling because he has an ideal frame to play offensive tackle.
But this is what we want to know on Saturday: Can he get to five rebounds with the 7-foot-4 giant Edey in his way?
Burns is only averaging 4.1 rebounds per game on the season, so it’s fair to see why the over is an underdog play at +124 odds.
However, Burns only averaged 24.8 minutes per game during the season, and has been comfortably above that in the past three tournament outings.
This could be the final game of the year for the Wolfpack, so as long as he stays out of foul trouble, N.C. State will want its big man on the court.
And while Edey is going to snare a lion’s share of the rebounds, he is also going to take a lot of shots on offense, where Burns will automatically have the positional advantage for any misses.
This matchup doesn’t look great on the surface, but Burns has the capacity to grab five boards, making this a worthy underdog bet.
Best bet: D.J. Burns, Jr. over 4.5 rebounds (+124 odds at DraftKings)
North Carolina State G D.J. Horne Over/Under 2.5 Three-Pointers
While Burns is the anchor down low, Horne is the perimeter threat for North Carolina State.
The over is the underdog play once again here, as nailing three 3-pointers is no easy task.
However, Horne has been launching them in the tournament, averaging 2.5 makes on 6.8 three-point attempts.
He is shooting 40.9% from downtown on the year, and if Horne can get to seven or eight three-point attempts, this one has a real chance.
The reason I like it: Purdue is tough to drive against because Edey’s mammoth frame is a deterrent. Horne could instead choose to launch 3-pointers instead of going into the lane, and he is efficient enough to hit three or more.
Best bet: D.J. Horne over 2.5 three-pointers (+140 odds at DraftKings)