Heat vs. Mavericks Picks & Best Bets 13th Feb 2025: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Dallas Mavericks will face the Miami Heat in NBA action on Thursday at American Airlines Center, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET.
Naji Marshall, Spencer Dinwiddie and Max Christie are set to lead the way for the Mavericks, while the Heat will rely on Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware and Nikola Jovic.
We've performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's NBA matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Heat vs. Mavericks bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Heat will likely defeat the Mavericks with a projected final score of 110-107.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Heat vs. Mavericks Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Heat vs. Mavericks picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Heat vs. Mavericks Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, February 13th, 2025
- Game Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: American Airlines Center
- Spread: Heat -3.5 / Mavericks +3.5
- Moneyline: Heat -144 / Mavericks +130
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 218.5 Points (-110/-110)
Heat -3.5 @ -102 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Heat have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Mavericks have a probability of 49%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -102.
Total Points Under 218.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 218.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis indicates a 52% chance that the total will stay under 218.5 points.
Heat vs. Mavericks Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Heat at -144 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Dallas Mavericks are available at +130 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Heat are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 61% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Heat present the best betting value, with the odds of -144 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 2.2%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Heat vs. Mavericks
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Thursday's Heat vs. Mavericks matchup.
Miami Heat Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Kel'el Ware | 15 | 10 | 2 | 1 |
| Nikola Jovic | 14 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Duncan Robinson | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Alec Burks | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+124)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 3-Pointers | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +124 |
- Our top prop bet for the Heat is on Duncan Robinson to record over 2.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 3 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 7.5% on the +124 odds offered by DraftKings.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 15 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Max Christie | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Jaden Hardy | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Spencer Dinwiddie Over 4.5 Assists (+100)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie Over 4.5 Assists | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +100 |
- Our best prop bet for the Mavericks is on Spencer Dinwiddie to record over 4.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 6 assists, giving us an edge of 9.3% on the +100 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Heat vs. Mavericks Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Heat vs. Mavericks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Naji Marshall Over 0.5 Total Blocks
Naji Marshall has recorded at least one block in 4 of his last 10 games (40% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +260 (28% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Tyler Herro Over 6.5 Total Assists
Tyler Herro has had more than 6.5 assists in 7 of his last 10 games (70%). You can place a bet on him to record over 6.5 assists again at odds of +110 (48%), available at FanDuel.
Max Christie Over 0.5 Total Blocks
Max Christie has recorded at least one blocks in 11 of his last 20 games (55%). You can wager on him to record at least one more again at odds of +115 (47%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Spencer Dinwiddie of the Mavericks to record over 4.5 assists, with a projection of 6 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Heat -3.5 to cover.
Beyond our Heat vs. Mavericks predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA odds tonight and insightful NBA expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NBA bets and dive into NBA sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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