Warriors vs. Rockets Picks & Best Bets 11th Dec 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Houston Rockets will go up against the Golden State Warriors in NBA action on Wednesday at Toyota Center, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET.
The Rockets will be led by Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun and Jabari Smith, while the Warriors are headlined by Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga and Buddy Hield.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's NBA matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Warriors vs. Rockets bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Rockets will likely defeat the Warriors with a projected final score of 112-108.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Warriors vs. Rockets Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Warriors vs. Rockets picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Warriors vs. Rockets Game Information
- Game Date: Wednesday, December 11th, 2024
- Game Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Toyota Center
- Spread: Warriors +3.5 / Rockets -3.5
- Moneyline: Warriors +136 / Rockets -150
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 221.5 Points (-105/-115)
Rockets -3.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Warriors and Rockets have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Rockets -3.5 because of DraftKings Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -105.
Total Points Over 221.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 221.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis shows a slightly higher chance of the 221.5-point total going over, which presents greater value compared to betting on the under.
Warriors vs. Rockets Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Golden State Warriors at +136 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Houston Rockets are available at -150 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Rockets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 61% chance of prevailing.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Rockets also present the best betting value, with the odds of -150 available at BetMGM for an edge of 0.7%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Warriors vs. Rockets
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Wednesday's Warriors vs. Rockets game.
Golden State Warriors Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 30 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 17 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Buddy Hield | 15 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Lindy Waters | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Gary Payton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Stephen Curry Over 4.5 3-Pointers (+120)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry Over 4.5 3-Pointers | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +120 |
- Our top prop bet for the Warriors is on Stephen Curry to record over 4.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 6 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 20.7% on the +120 odds offered by DraftKings.
Houston Rockets Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green | 22 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Alperen Sengun | 21 | 12 | 7 | 1 |
| Jabari Smith | 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| Fred VanVleet | 15 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| Dillon Brooks | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Jalen Green Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+105)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green Over 2.5 3-Pointers | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +105 |
- Our best prop bet for the Rockets is on Jalen Green to record over 2.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 3 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 7.3% on the +105 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Warriors vs. Rockets Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Warriors vs. Rockets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Brandin Podziemski Over 0.5 Total Turnovers
Brandin Podziemski has recorded at least one turnover in 9 of his last 11 games (82% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of -210 (68% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Brandin Podziemski Over 6.5 Points Scored
Brandin Podziemski has scored more than 6.5 points in 7 of his last 10 games (70%). You can place a bet on him to score 7 or more points again at odds of -120 (55%), available at FanDuel.
Dillon Brooks Over 12.5 Points Scored
Dillon Brooks has scored more than 12.5 points in 9 of his last 13 games (69%). You can bet on him to record over 12.5 points again at odds of -108 (52%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Stephen Curry of the Warriors to knock down over 4.5 three-pointers, with a projection of 6 made threes marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Rockets -3.5 to cover.
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