Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Picks & Best Bets: NBA Game 5 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Denver Nuggets will host the Minnesota Timberwolves for Game 5 of their conference semifinals series on Tuesday at Ball Arena, beginning at 10:30 p.m. ET.

Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter are expected to lead the way for the Nuggets, while the Timberwolves will rely on Anthony Edwards, Karl-Anthony Towns and Rudy Gobert.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's NBA matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Timberwolves vs. Nuggets bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Nuggets will likely win with a projected final score of 105-101.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 5 Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game Information

• Playoffs Stage: Conference Semifinals Game 5
• Game Date: Tuesday, May 14th, 2024
• Game Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Ball Arena
• Spread: Timberwolves +4.5 / Nuggets -4.5
• Moneyline: Timberwolves +164 / Nuggets -185
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 205.5 Points (-108/-110)

Timberwolves +4.5 @ -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, both the Timberwolves and Nuggets have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
• We prefer the Timberwolves +4.5 because of FanDuel Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -108.

Total Points Over 205.5 @ -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total points scored is set at 205.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -108.
• Our analysis indicates a 52% probability that the total will go over 205.5 points, providing an edge of 0.3%.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 5 Moneyline Odds

The Nuggets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 66% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Nuggets also present the best betting value, with odds of -185 available at DraftKings Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 0.8%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 5

Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Tuesday's Timberwolves vs. Nuggets matchup.

Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Karl-Anthony Towns Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+180)

• Our top prop bet for the Timberwolves is on Karl-Anthony Towns to record over 2.5 made threes.
• Our analysis projects him to put up 3 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 23.3% on the +180 odds offered by FanDuel.

Denver Nuggets Prediction

Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 Assists (-112)

• Our best prop bet for the Nuggets is on Nikola Jokic to record over 8.5 assists.
• Our analysis projects him to put up 12 assists, giving us an edge of 14.3% on the -112 odds offered by FanDuel.

These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 5 Betting Trends

In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Timberwolves vs. Nuggets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 2.5 Total Assists

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has recorded more than 2.5 assists in 8 of his last 13 appearances (62% of the time). You can put money on him to go over 2.5 assists again at odds of +150 (40% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Aaron Gordon Over 0.5 Total Steals

Aaron Gordon has recorded at least one steal in 12 of his last 15 appearances (80%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -190 (66%), available at Bet365.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 1.5 Total Assists

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has had more than 1.5 assists in 12 of his last 15 appearances (80%). You can bet on him to record over 1.5 assists again at odds of -170 (63%), again available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Karl-Anthony Towns of the Timberwolves to put up over 2.5 three-pointers, with a projection of 3 made threes marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Timberwolves +4.5 to cover.

In addition to our Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 5 predictions, we offer extensive NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA odds for today and insightful NBA predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NBA best bets today and dive into NBA sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.