Thunder vs. Nuggets Picks & Best Bets 6th Nov 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Denver Nuggets will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action on Wednesday at Ball Arena, beginning at 9:00 p.m. ET.
Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter and Russell Westbrook are set to lead the way for the Nuggets, while the Thunder will rely on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's NBA matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Thunder vs. Nuggets bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Thunder will likely defeat the Nuggets with a projected final score of 115-109.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Thunder vs. Nuggets picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Information
- Game Date: Wednesday, November 6th, 2024
- Game Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Ball Arena
- Spread: Thunder -7 / Nuggets +7
- Moneyline: Thunder -260 / Nuggets +230
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 225 Points (-112/-108)
Nuggets +7 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Nuggets have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Thunder have a probability of 47%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -108.
Total Points Under 225 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 225, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -108.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% chance that the total will stay under 225 points.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Oklahoma City Thunder at -260 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Denver Nuggets are available at +230 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Thunder are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 71% chance of prevailing.
Even though the Thunder are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +230 odds on the Nuggets moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Thunder vs. Nuggets
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Wednesday's Thunder vs. Nuggets game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 29 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Jalen Williams | 20 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| Chet Holmgren | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| Luguentz Dort | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 5.5 Rebounds (+126)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 5.5 Rebounds | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +126 |
- Our top prop bet for the Thunder is on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to record under 5.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 rebounds, giving us an edge of 6.8% on the +126 odds offered by FanDuel.
Denver Nuggets Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 31 | 14 | 12 | 2 |
| Michael Porter | 19 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
| Russell Westbrook | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| Christian Braun | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Julian Strawther | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Nuggets is on Nikola Jokic to record over 9.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 12 assists, giving us an edge of 11.2% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Thunder vs. Nuggets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Michael Porter Jr. Over 0.5 Total Blocks
Michael Porter Jr. has recorded at least one block in 8 of his last 14 appearances (57% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +145 (41% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Nikola Jokic Over 0.5 Total Blocks
Nikola Jokic has recorded at least one block in 11 of his last 13 games (85%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -148 (60%), available at DraftKings.
Nikola Jokic Over 1.5 Total Steals
Nikola Jokic has had more than 1.5 steals in 14 of his last 24 games (58%). You can wager on him to record over 1.5 steals again at odds of +140 (42%), available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Nikola Jokic of the Nuggets to record over 9.5 assists, with a projection of 12 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Nuggets +7 to cover.
Beyond our Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA odds tonight and insightful NBA expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NBA bets tonight and dive into our NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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