Thunder vs. Nuggets Picks & Best Bets 24th Oct 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Denver Nuggets will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action on Thursday at Ball Arena, starting at 10:00 p.m. ET.
The Nuggets will be led by Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter, while the Thunder have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's NBA matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Thunder vs. Nuggets bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Nuggets will likely beat the Thunder with a projected final score of 114-112.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Thunder vs. Nuggets picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, October 24th, 2024
- Game Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Ball Arena
- Spread: Thunder +2.5 / Nuggets -2.5
- Moneyline: Thunder +115 / Nuggets -132
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 228.5 Points (-108/-108)
Nuggets -2.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Nuggets have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Thunder have a probability of 48%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -105.
Total Points Under 228.5 @ -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 228.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -108.
- Our analysis suggests a 51% chance of the 228.5-point total staying under.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Oklahoma City Thunder at +115 via BetMGM, whilst the Denver Nuggets are available at -132 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Nuggets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 59% chance of prevailing.
Additionally, the Nuggets present the best betting value, with the odds of -132 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 1.7%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Thunder vs. Nuggets
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Thursday's Thunder vs. Nuggets matchup.
Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 29 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Jalen Williams | 20 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| Chet Holmgren | 19 | 9 | 3 | 2 |
| Luguentz Dort | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Isaiah Joe | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Russell Westbrook Over 4.5 Rebounds (+136)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook Over 4.5 Rebounds | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +136 |
- Our top prop bet for the Thunder is on Russell Westbrook to record over 4.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 rebounds, giving us an edge of 10.3% on the +136 odds offered by FanDuel.
Denver Nuggets Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 28 | 13 | 10 | 1 |
| Jamal Murray | 20 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Michael Porter | 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| Aaron Gordon | 13 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Russell Westbrook | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
Russell Westbrook Over 4.5 Rebounds (+136)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook Over 4.5 Rebounds | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +136 |
- Our best prop bet for the Nuggets is on Russell Westbrook to record over 4.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 rebounds, giving us an edge of 10.3% on the +136 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Thunder vs. Nuggets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Aaron Gordon Over 3.5 Total Assists
Aaron Gordon has recorded more than 3.5 assists in 15 of his last 19 games (79% success rate). You can put money on him to record 4+ assists again at odds of +135 (43% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Aaron Gordon Over 0.5 Total Steals
Aaron Gordon has recorded at least one steal in 13 of his last 18 games (72%). You can place a wager on him to get another one at odds of -115 (53%), also available at Bet365.
Russell Westbrook Over 4.5 Total Rebounds
Russell Westbrook has had more than 4.5 rebounds in 6 of his last 11 appearances (55%). You can wager on him to record over 4.5 rebounds again at odds of +136 (42%), available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Russell Westbrook of the Thunder to record over 4.5 rebounds, with a projection of 5 rebounds marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Nuggets -2.5 to cover.
Beyond our Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions, we offer extensive NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA odds and insightful NBA computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NBA best bets and dive into our NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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