Thunder vs. Mavericks Picks & Best Bets: NBA Game 6 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Dallas Mavericks will face the Oklahoma City Thunder for Game 6 of their conference semifinals series on Saturday at American Airlines Center, beginning at 8:00 p.m. ET.
Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and P.J. Washington are expected to lead the way for the Mavericks, while the Thunder will rely on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.
We run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's NBA matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Thunder vs. Mavericks bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Mavericks will likely defeat the Thunder with a projected final score of 106-102.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 6 Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Thunder vs. Mavericks picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Information
- Playoffs Stage: Conference Semifinals Game 6
- Game Date: Saturday, May 18th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: American Airlines Center
- Spread: Thunder +4 / Mavericks -4
- Moneyline: Thunder +152 / Mavericks -165
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 208.5 Points (-110/-108)
Mavericks -4 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mavericks -4 | DraftKings Sportsbook | -105 |
- According to our simulations, the Mavericks have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Thunder have a probability of 49%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -105.
Total Points Over 208.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 208.5 | BetMGM | -110 |
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 208.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis shows a 51% probability that the total will go over 208.5 points.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 6 Moneyline Odds
| Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks |
|---|---|
| +152 via FanDuel Sportsbook | -165 via BetMGM |
The Mavericks are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 65% chance of prevailing.
Additionally, the Mavericks present the best betting value, with odds of -165 available at BetMGM for an edge of 2.4%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 6
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Saturday's Thunder vs. Mavericks game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 33 | 7 | 7 | 2 |
| Jalen Williams | 22 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| Chet Holmgren | 21 | 10 | 4 | 2 |
| Luguentz Dort | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Isaiah Joe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Chet Holmgren Over 8.5 Rebounds (+108)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chet Holmgren Over 8.5 Rebounds | FanDuel Sportsbook | +108 |
- Our top prop bet for the Thunder is on Chet Holmgren to record over 8.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 10 rebounds, giving us an edge of 11.3% on the +108 odds offered by FanDuel.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 32 | 11 | 10 | 4 |
| Kyrie Irving | 26 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| P.J. Washington | 15 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| Daniel Gafford | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| Dereck Lively | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers (+144)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers | FanDuel Sportsbook | +144 |
- Our best prop bet for the Mavericks is on Luka Doncic to record over 3.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 4 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 18.8% on the +144 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 6 Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Thunder vs. Mavericks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Luguentz Dort Over 1.5 Total Assists
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort Over 1.5 Assists | Bet365 | -135 |
Luguentz Dort has recorded more than 1.5 assists in 10 of his last 13 games (77% of the time). You can bet on him to go over 1.5 assists again at odds of -135 (57% implied probability), available at Bet365.
P.J. Washington Over 0.5 Total Blocks
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington Over 0.5 Blocks | Bet365 | -140 |
P.J. Washington has recorded at least one block in 14 of his last 20 appearances (70%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -140 (58%), also available at Bet365.
Luguentz Dort Over 10.5 Points Scored
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort Over 10.5 Points Scored | DraftKings Sportsbook | -140 |
Luguentz Dort has scored more than 10.5 points in 11 of his last 16 games (69%). You can wager on him to record over 10.5 points again at odds of -122 (55%), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luka Doncic of the Mavericks to put up over 3.5 three-pointers, with a projection of 4 made threes marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Mavericks -4 to cover.
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