Thunder vs. Mavericks Picks & Best Bets: NBA Game 4 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds

The Dallas Mavericks will face the Oklahoma City Thunder for Game 4 of their conference semifinals series on Monday at American Airlines Center, beginning at 9:30 p.m. ET.
The Mavericks will be led by Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and P.J. Washington, while the Thunder have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Monday's NBA matchup using innovative AI technology to reveal the best Thunder vs. Mavericks bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Mavericks will likely win with a projected final score of 108-106.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Today's Thunder vs. Mavericks picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Information
- Playoffs Stage: Conference Semifinals Game 4
- Game Date: Monday, May 13th, 2024
- Game Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: American Airlines Center
- Spread: Thunder +1.5 / Mavericks -1.5
- Moneyline: Thunder +100 / Mavericks -110
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 214.5 Points (-110/-105)
Mavericks -1.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Mavericks -1.5 | DraftKings Sportsbook | -108 |
- According to our simulations, the Mavericks have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Thunder have a probability of 49%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -108.
Total Points Under 214.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Under 214.5 | BetMGM | -105 |
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 214.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -105.
- Our analysis suggests a 51% chance that the total will stay under 214.5 points.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 4 Moneyline Odds
Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks |
---|---|
+100 via BetMGM | -110 via FanDuel Sportsbook |
The Mavericks are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 56% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Mavericks also present the best betting value, with odds of -110 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 3.9%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 4
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Monday's Thunder vs. Mavericks matchup.
Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 33 | 7 | 8 | 2 |
Jalen Williams | 22 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
Chet Holmgren | 20 | 10 | 3 | 2 |
Luguentz Dort | 12 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Aaron Wiggins | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Chet Holmgren Over 15.5 Points Scored (-102)
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Chet Holmgren Over 15.5 Points Scored | FanDuel Sportsbook | -102 |
- Our top prop bet for the Thunder is on Chet Holmgren to score over 15.5 points.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 20 points, giving us an edge of 8.5% on the -102 odds offered by FanDuel.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Luka Doncic | 32 | 11 | 10 | 4 |
Kyrie Irving | 26 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
P.J. Washington | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
Daniel Gafford | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
Dereck Lively | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers (+126)
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers | FanDuel Sportsbook | +126 |
- Our best prop bet for the Mavericks is on Luka Doncic to record over 3.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 4 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 15.1% on the +126 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 4 Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Thunder vs. Mavericks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Kyrie Irving Over 1.5 Total Steals
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Kyrie Irving Over 1.5 Steals | FanDuel Sportsbook | +102 |
Kyrie Irving has recorded more than 1.5 steals in 9 of his last 11 games (82% success rate). You can put money on him to go over 1.5 steals again at odds of +102 (50% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Kyrie Irving Over 23.5 Points Scored
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Kyrie Irving Over 23.5 Points Scored | FanDuel Sportsbook | +112 |
Kyrie Irving has scored more than 23.5 points in 15 of his last 23 games (65%). You can place a bet on him to score 24 or more points again at odds of +112 (47%), also available at FanDuel.
Aaron Wiggins Over 1.5 Total Assists
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Aaron Wiggins Over 1.5 Assists | Bet365 | +112 |
Aaron Wiggins has had more than 1.5 assists in 6 of his last 10 appearances (60%). You can bet on him to record over 1.5 assists again at odds of +160 (38%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luka Doncic of the Mavericks to knock down over 3.5 three-pointers, with a projection of 4 made threes marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Mavericks -1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 4 predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA odds and insightful NBA expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NBA bets today and dive into our NBA expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.