Thunder vs. Mavericks Picks & Best Bets: NBA Game 3 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Dallas Mavericks will host the Oklahoma City Thunder for Game 3 of their conference semifinals series on Saturday at American Airlines Center, tipping off at 3:30 p.m. ET.
The Mavericks will be led by Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and P.J. Washington, while the Thunder are headlined by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's NBA matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Thunder vs. Mavericks bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Mavericks will likely beat the Thunder with a projected final score of 109-107.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Thunder vs Mavs Picks
Today's Thunder vs. Mavericks picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Information
- Playoffs Stage: Conference Semifinals Game 3
- Game Date: Saturday, May 11th, 2024
- Game Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Location: American Airlines Center
- Spread: Thunder +1.5 / Mavericks -1.5
- Moneyline: Thunder +110 / Mavericks -124
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 218 Points (-108/-112)
Thunder +1.5 @ -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Thunder +1.5 | FanDuel Sportsbook | -108 |
- According to our simulations, the Thunder have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Mavericks have a probability of 49%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -108.
Total Points Under 218 @ -112 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Under 218 | FanDuel Sportsbook | -112 |
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 218 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -112.
- Our analysis indicates a 53% chance that the total will stay under 218 points, providing an edge of 0.1%.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 3 Moneyline Odds
Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks |
---|---|
+110 via DraftKings Sportsbook | -124 via FanDuel Sportsbook |
The Mavericks are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 57% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Mavericks also present the best betting value, with odds of -124 available at FanDuel Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 3.9%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 3
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Saturday's Thunder vs. Mavericks game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 32 | 7 | 7 | 2 |
Jalen Williams | 22 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
Chet Holmgren | 20 | 9 | 3 | 2 |
Luguentz Dort | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Josh Giddey | 9 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
Josh Giddey Over 3.5 Rebounds (-110)
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Josh Giddey Over 3.5 Rebounds | FanDuel Sportsbook | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Thunder is on Josh Giddey to record over 3.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 6 rebounds, giving us an edge of 9.4% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Luka Doncic | 33 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
Kyrie Irving | 26 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
P.J. Washington | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
Daniel Gafford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
Derrick Jones | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers (+100)
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers | BetMGM | +100 |
- Our best prop bet for the Mavericks is on Luka Doncic to record over 3.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 12.1% on the +100 odds offered by BetMGM.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 3 Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Thunder vs. Mavericks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Kyrie Irving Over 1.5 Total Steals
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Kyrie Irving Over 1.5 Steals | Bet365 | +100 |
Kyrie Irving has recorded more than 1.5 steals in 9 of his last 10 games (90% of the time). You can put money on him to record 2+ steals again at odds of +100 (50% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Kyrie Irving Over 22.5 Points Scored
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Kyrie Irving Over 22.5 Points Scored | Bet365 | -125 |
Kyrie Irving has scored more than 22.5 points in 17 of his last 23 games (74%). You can place a bet on him to score 23 or more points again at odds of -125 (56%), also available at Bet365.
Luka Doncic Over 9.5 Total Rebounds
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Luka Doncic Over 9.5 Rebounds | FanDuel Sportsbook | +125 |
Luka Doncic has had more than 9.5 rebounds in 16 of his last 25 appearances (64%). You can wager on him to record over 9.5 rebounds again at odds of +104 (49%), available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luka Doncic of the Mavericks to knock down over 3.5 three-pointers, with a projection of 5 made threes marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Thunder +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 3 predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA odds for today and insightful NBA predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NBA bets tonight and dive into Mark Schindler's NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.