Thunder vs. Mavericks Picks & Best Bets 17th Jan 2025: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds

The Dallas Mavericks will meet the Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action on Friday at American Airlines Center, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET.
The Mavericks will be led by Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford and Klay Thompson, while the Thunder have Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins and Luguentz Dort.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Friday's NBA matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Thunder vs. Mavericks bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Thunder will likely defeat the Mavericks with a projected final score of 111-109.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Thunder vs. Mavericks picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, January 17th, 2025
- Game Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: American Airlines Center
- Spread: Thunder -2.5 / Mavericks +2.5
- Moneyline: Thunder -146 / Mavericks +126
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 220.5 Points (-108/-105)
Mavericks +2.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Mavericks have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Thunder have a probability of 47%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -110.
Total Points Over 220.5 @ -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 220.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -108.
- Our analysis suggests a 53% chance of the 220.5-point total going over, providing an edge of 1.1%.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Oklahoma City Thunder at -146 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Dallas Mavericks are available at +126 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Thunder are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 59% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Thunder also present the best betting value, with the odds of -146 available at FanDuel Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 6.6%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Thunder vs. Mavericks
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Friday's Thunder vs. Mavericks game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jalen Williams | 20 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
Aaron Wiggins | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Luguentz Dort | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Isaiah Joe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Cason Wallace | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Jaylin Williams Under 5.5 Rebounds (+108)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Jaylin Williams Under 5.5 Rebounds | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +108 |
- Our top prop bet for the Thunder is on Jaylin Williams to record under 5.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 rebounds, giving us an edge of 5.4% on the +108 odds offered by FanDuel.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kyrie Irving | 18 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Daniel Gafford | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Klay Thompson | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
P.J. Washington | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 |
Naji Marshall | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Kyrie Irving Under 4.5 Assists (+126)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Kyrie Irving Under 4.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +126 |
- Our best prop bet for the Mavericks is on Kyrie Irving to record under 4.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 4 assists, giving us an edge of 7.8% on the +126 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Thunder vs. Mavericks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Cason Wallace Over 1.5 Total Steals
Cason Wallace has recorded more than 1.5 steals in 14 of his last 20 games (70% success rate). You can bet on him to go over 1.5 steals again at odds of +110 (48% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 1.5 Total Steals
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has had more than 1.5 steals in 8 of his last 10 appearances (80%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 1.5 steals again at odds of -154 (61%), available at DraftKings.
Jalen Williams Over 4.5 Total Assists
Jalen Williams has had more than 4.5 assists in 9 of his last 11 appearances (82%). You can wager on him to record over 4.5 assists again at odds of -155 (61%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kyrie Irving of the Mavericks to record under 4.5 assists, with an edge of 7.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Mavericks +2.5 to cover.
In addition to our Thunder vs. Mavericks predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA odds and insightful NBA predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NBA bets and dive into our NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.