Thunder vs. Kings Picks & Best Bets 25th Nov 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Sacramento Kings will go up against the Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action on Monday at Golden 1 Center, beginning at 10:00 p.m. ET.
The Kings will be led by De'Aaron Fox, DeMar DeRozan and Domantas Sabonis, while the Thunder are headlined by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Luguentz Dort.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Monday's NBA matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Thunder vs. Kings bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Thunder will likely defeat the Kings with a projected final score of 113-110.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Thunder vs. Kings Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Thunder vs. Kings picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Thunder vs. Kings Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, November 25th, 2024
- Game Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Golden 1 Center
- Spread: Thunder -3.5 / Kings +3.5
- Moneyline: Thunder -155 / Kings +142
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 226.5 Points (-105/-115)
Kings +3.5 @ -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Kings have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Thunder have a probability of 48%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -108.
Total Points Under 226.5 @ -115 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 226.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -115.
- Our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of the 226.5-point total staying under.
Thunder vs. Kings Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Oklahoma City Thunder at -155 via BetMGM, whilst the Sacramento Kings are available at +142 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Thunder are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 60% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Thunder present the best betting value, with the odds of -155 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Thunder vs. Kings
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Monday's Thunder vs. Kings game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 30 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| Jalen Williams | 21 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| Luguentz Dort | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Isaiah Joe | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 5.5 Rebounds (+135)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 5.5 Rebounds | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +135 |
- Our top prop bet for the Thunder is on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to record over 5.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 6 rebounds, giving us an edge of 7.7% on the +135 odds offered by DraftKings.
Sacramento Kings Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox | 25 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 22 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Domantas Sabonis | 18 | 15 | 7 | 1 |
| Keegan Murray | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Malik Monk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
DeMar DeRozan Over 3.5 Assists (+134)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan Over 3.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +134 |
- Our best prop bet for the Kings is on DeMar DeRozan to record over 3.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 assists, giving us an edge of 17.0% on the +134 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Thunder vs. Kings Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Thunder vs. Kings trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jalen Williams Over 1.5 Total Steals
Jalen Williams has recorded more than 1.5 steals in 11 of his last 14 appearances (79% success rate). You can bet on him to record 2+ steals again at odds of -128 (56% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Jalen Williams Over 6.5 Total Rebounds
Jalen Williams has had more than 6.5 rebounds in 9 of his last 15 appearances (60%). You can place a bet on him to record over 6.5 rebounds again at odds of +115 (47%), available at DraftKings.
Jalen Williams Over 22.5 Points Scored
Jalen Williams has scored more than 22.5 points in 7 of his last 10 games (70%). You can wager on him to record over 22.5 points again at odds of -106 (51%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing DeMar DeRozan of the Kings to record over 3.5 assists, with a projection of 5 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Kings +3.5 to cover.
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