Thunder vs. Heat Picks & Best Bets 20th Dec 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds

The Miami Heat will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action on Friday at Kaseya Center, beginning at 8:00 p.m. ET.
The Heat will be led by Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo, while the Thunder are headlined by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Isaiah Hartenstein.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Friday's NBA matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Thunder vs. Heat bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Thunder will likely beat the Heat with a projected final score of 109-108.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Thunder vs. Heat Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Thunder vs. Heat picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Thunder vs. Heat Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, December 20th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Kaseya Center
- Spread: Thunder -1.5 / Heat +1.5
- Moneyline: Thunder -112 / Heat -102
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 218.5 Points (-105/-115)
Thunder -1.5 @ +105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Thunder have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Heat have a probability of 49%.
- BetMGM offers odds of +105 for the Thunder -1.5, providing a favorable 2.4% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 218.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 218.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood that the total will go over 218.5 points.
Thunder vs. Heat Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Oklahoma City Thunder at -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Miami Heat are available at -102 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Thunder are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 55% chance of prevailing.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Thunder also present the best betting value, with the odds of -112 available at DraftKings Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 2%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Thunder vs. Heat
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Friday's Thunder vs. Heat game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 29 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
Jalen Williams | 20 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
Isaiah Hartenstein | 11 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Luguentz Dort | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Aaron Wiggins | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 3.5 Assists (+106)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 3.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +106 |
- Our top prop bet for the Thunder is on Isaiah Hartenstein to record over 3.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 assists, giving us an edge of 9.1% on the +106 odds offered by FanDuel.
Miami Heat Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jimmy Butler | 22 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
Tyler Herro | 20 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Bam Adebayo | 17 | 11 | 6 | 1 |
Terry Rozier | 12 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Duncan Robinson | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Terry Rozier Over 3.5 Rebounds (+130)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Terry Rozier Over 3.5 Rebounds | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +130 |
- Our best prop bet for the Heat is on Terry Rozier to record over 3.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 rebounds, giving us an edge of 13.3% on the +130 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Thunder vs. Heat Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Thunder vs. Heat trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 1.5 Total Turnovers
Isaiah Hartenstein has recorded more than 1.5 turnovers in 9 of his last 13 games (69% of the time). You can wager on him to record 2+ turnovers again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Bam Adebayo Over 4.5 Total Assists
Bam Adebayo has had more than 4.5 assists in 9 of his last 10 games (90%). You can place a bet on him to record over 4.5 assists again at odds of -118 (54%), available at FanDuel.
Jalen Williams Over 1.5 Total Steals
Jalen Williams has had more than 1.5 steals in 17 of his last 25 appearances (68%). You can wager on him to record over 1.5 steals again at odds of +110 (48%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Terry Rozier of the Heat to record over 3.5 rebounds, with a projection of 5 rebounds marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Thunder -1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Thunder vs. Heat predictions, we offer extensive NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA odds and insightful NBA predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NBA bets today and dive into our NBA expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NBA betting sites.