Spurs vs. Mavericks Picks & Best Bets 16th Nov 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Dallas Mavericks will face the San Antonio Spurs in NBA action on Saturday at American Airlines Center, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET.
Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and Klay Thompson are set to lead the way for the Mavericks, while the Spurs are headlined by Zach Collins, Keldon Johnson and Stephon Castle.
We've performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday's NBA matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Spurs vs. Mavericks bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Mavericks will likely win with a projected final score of 120-108.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Spurs vs. Mavericks Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Spurs vs. Mavericks picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Spurs vs. Mavericks Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, November 16th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: American Airlines Center
- Spread: Spurs +13 / Mavericks -13
- Moneyline: Spurs +575 / Mavericks -820
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 228.5 Points (-115/-105)
Spurs +13 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Spurs have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Mavericks have a probability of 44%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -105 for the Spurs +13, providing a favorable 4.4% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 228.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 228.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -105.
- Our analysis indicates a slightly higher likelihood of the 228.5-point total staying under, which presents greater value compared to betting on the over.
Spurs vs. Mavericks Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Antonio Spurs at +575 via BetMGM, whilst the Dallas Mavericks are available at -820 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Mavericks are heavily favored to win this game, with our projections giving them an 84% chance of prevailing.
Although the Mavericks are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +575 odds on the Spurs moneyline, providing an edge of 0.7%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Spurs vs. Mavericks
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Saturday's Spurs vs. Mavericks matchup.
San Antonio Spurs Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Collins | 14 | 7 | 5 | 1 |
| Keldon Johnson | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Stephon Castle | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Harrison Barnes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Chris Paul | 11 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Zach Collins Over 3.5 Assists (+142)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Collins Over 3.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +142 |
- Our top prop bet for the Spurs is on Zach Collins to record over 3.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 assists, giving us an edge of 15.9% on the +142 odds offered by FanDuel.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 30 | 9 | 8 | 4 |
| Kyrie Irving | 23 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Klay Thompson | 20 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Daniel Gafford | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Dereck Lively | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
Klay Thompson Over 3.5 3-Pointers (+115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson Over 3.5 3-Pointers | BetMGM | Get Offer | +115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Mavericks is on Klay Thompson to record over 3.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 4 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 8.7% on the +115 odds offered by BetMGM.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Spurs vs. Mavericks Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Spurs vs. Mavericks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Julian Champagnie Over 1.5 Total Assists
Julian Champagnie has recorded more than 1.5 assists in 8 of his last 10 games (80% of the time). You can bet on him to record 2+ assists again at odds of -135 (57% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Chris Paul Over 8.5 Total Assists
Chris Paul has had more than 8.5 assists in 9 of his last 12 games (75%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 8.5 assists again at odds of +120 (45%), available at FanDuel.
Klay Thompson Over 1.5 Total Turnovers
Klay Thompson has had more than 1.5 turnovers in 12 of his last 25 appearances (48%). You can bet on him to record over 1.5 turnovers again at odds of +175 (36%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Zach Collins of the Spurs to record over 3.5 assists, with a projection of 5 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Spurs +13 to cover.
In addition to our Spurs vs. Mavericks predictions, we offer extensive NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA odds tonight and insightful NBA expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NBA bets and dive into Mark Schindler's NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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