Spurs vs. Heat Picks & Best Bets 19th Jan 2025: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Miami Heat will take on the San Antonio Spurs in NBA action on Sunday at Kaseya Center, tipping off at 3:00 p.m. ET.
Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo are expected to lead the way for the Heat, while the Spurs will rely on Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NBA matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Spurs vs. Heat bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Heat will likely win with a projected final score of 111-108.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Spurs vs. Heat Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Spurs vs. Heat picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Spurs vs. Heat Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, January 19th, 2025
- Game Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Kaseya Center
- Spread: Spurs +3.5 / Heat -3.5
- Moneyline: Spurs +135 / Heat -154
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 219.5 Points (-106/-110)
Spurs +3.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Spurs have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Heat have a probability of 48%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -108.
Total Points Over 219.5 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 219.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -106.
- Our analysis shows a 51% likelihood of the 219.5-point total going over.
Spurs vs. Heat Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Antonio Spurs at +135 via BetMGM, whilst the Miami Heat are available at -154 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Heat are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 60% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Heat also present the best betting value, with the odds of -154 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Spurs vs. Heat
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Sunday's Spurs vs. Heat game.
San Antonio Spurs Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 25 | 11 | 5 | 4 |
| Devin Vassell | 19 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Keldon Johnson | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Stephon Castle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Harrison Barnes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Stephon Castle Over 4.5 Assists (+130)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle Over 4.5 Assists | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +130 |
- Our top prop bet for the Spurs is on Stephon Castle to record over 4.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 assists, giving us an edge of 9.9% on the +130 odds offered by DraftKings.
Miami Heat Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 25 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Jimmy Butler | 18 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| Bam Adebayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 1 |
| Nikola Jovic | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Terry Rozier | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Bam Adebayo Over 4.5 Assists (+132)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo Over 4.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +132 |
- Our best prop bet for the Heat is on Bam Adebayo to record over 4.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 assists, giving us an edge of 10.6% on the +132 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Spurs vs. Heat Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Spurs vs. Heat trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Nikola Jovic Over 3.5 Total Assists
Nikola Jovic has recorded more than 3.5 assists in 9 of his last 13 games (69% success rate). You can put money on him to record 4+ assists again at odds of +140 (42% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. Over 0.5 Total Turnovers
Jaime Jaquez Jr. has recorded at least one turnover in 20 of his last 25 appearances (80%). You can place a bet on him to get another one at odds of -190 (66%), available at Bet365.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. Over 2.5 Total Assists
Jaime Jaquez Jr. has had more than 2.5 assists in 14 of his last 25 appearances (56%). You can wager on him to record over 2.5 assists again at odds of +140 (42%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Bam Adebayo of the Heat to record over 4.5 assists, with a projection of 5 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Spurs +3.5 to cover.
In addition to our Spurs vs. Heat predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA odds for today and insightful NBA predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NBA best bets and dive into Mark Schindler's NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NBA betting sites.
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