Pacers vs. Heat Picks & Best Bets 2nd Jan 2025: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds

The Miami Heat will face the Indiana Pacers in NBA action on Thursday at Kaseya Center, beginning at 7:30 p.m. ET.
The Heat will be led by Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo, while the Pacers have Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin and Tyrese Haliburton.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's NBA matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Pacers vs. Heat bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Heat will likely win with a projected final score of 114-111.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Pacers vs. Heat Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Pacers vs. Heat picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Pacers vs. Heat Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, January 2nd, 2025
- Game Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Kaseya Center
- Spread: Pacers +2.5 / Heat -2.5
- Moneyline: Pacers +110 / Heat -126
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 225.5 Points (-110/-110)
Heat -2.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Heat have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Pacers have a probability of 49%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -105.
Total Points Over 225.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 225.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis shows a 51% chance that the total will go over 225.5 points.
Pacers vs. Heat Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Indiana Pacers at +110 via BetMGM, whilst the Miami Heat are available at -126 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Heat are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 58% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Heat also present the best betting value, with the odds of -126 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 2.7%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Pacers vs. Heat
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Thursday's Pacers vs. Heat game.
Indiana Pacers Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Pascal Siakam | 18 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
Bennedict Mathurin | 17 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Tyrese Haliburton | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
Myles Turner | 15 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
Andrew Nembhard | 12 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Myles Turner Over 1.5 3-Pointers (-120)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Myles Turner Over 1.5 3-Pointers | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -120 |
- Our top prop bet for the Pacers is on Myles Turner to record over 1.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 3 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 11.3% on the -120 odds offered by DraftKings.
Miami Heat Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Herro | 25 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Jimmy Butler | 18 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
Bam Adebayo | 16 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
Terry Rozier | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Nikola Jovic | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Jimmy Butler Over 4.5 Assists (+120)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Jimmy Butler Over 4.5 Assists | BetMGM | Get Offer | +120 |
- Our best prop bet for the Heat is on Jimmy Butler to record over 4.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 assists, giving us an edge of 8.9% on the +120 odds offered by BetMGM.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Pacers vs. Heat Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Pacers vs. Heat trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Terry Rozier Over 3.5 Total Rebounds
Terry Rozier has recorded more than 3.5 rebounds in 8 of his last 11 games (73% success rate). You can put money on him to record 4+ rebounds again at odds of +130 (43% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Andrew Nembhard Over 1.5 Total Turnovers
Andrew Nembhard has had more than 1.5 turnovers in 8 of his last 11 appearances (73%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 1.5 turnovers again at odds of +100 (50%), available at Bet365.
Terry Rozier Over 0.5 Total Steals
Terry Rozier has recorded at least one steal in 7 of his last 11 appearances (64%). You can wager on him to record at least one more again at odds of +120 (45%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Myles Turner of the Pacers to knock down over 1.5 three-pointers, with a projection of 3 made threes marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Heat -2.5 to cover.
In addition to our Pacers vs. Heat predictions, we offer extensive NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA odds tonight and insightful NBA computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NBA best bets and dive into Mark Schindler's NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NBA betting sites.