Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Picks & Best Bets: NBA Game 6 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Minnesota Timberwolves will face the Denver Nuggets for Game 6 of their conference semifinals series on Thursday at Target Center, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET.
Anthony Edwards, Karl-Anthony Towns and Rudy Gobert are set to lead the way for the Timberwolves, while the Nuggets are headlined by Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's NBA matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Nuggets vs. Timberwolves bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Timberwolves will likely win with a projected final score of 103-101.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 6 Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Information
- Playoffs Stage: Conference Semifinals Game 6
- Game Date: Thursday, May 16th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Target Center
- Spread: Nuggets +2.5 / Timberwolves -2.5
- Moneyline: Nuggets +110 / Timberwolves -126
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 205.5 Points (-110/-110)
Timberwolves -2.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves -2.5 | BetMGM | -105 |
- According to our simulations, both the Nuggets and Timberwolves have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Timberwolves -2.5 because of BetMGM's more favorable odds of -105.
Total Points Over 205.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 205.5 | BetMGM | -110 |
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 205.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis shows a 51% probability that the total will go over 205.5 points.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 6 Moneyline Odds
| Denver Nuggets | Minnesota Timberwolves |
|---|---|
| +110 via BetMGM | -126 via FanDuel Sportsbook |
The Timberwolves are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 57% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Timberwolves present the best betting value, with odds of -126 available at FanDuel Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 1.6%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 6
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Thursday's Nuggets vs. Timberwolves matchup.
Denver Nuggets Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 32 | 13 | 12 | 2 |
| Jamal Murray | 25 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| Michael Porter | 18 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| Aaron Gordon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists (+124)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists | DraftKings Sportsbook | +124 |
- Our top prop bet for the Nuggets is on Nikola Jokic to record over 9.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 12 assists, giving us an edge of 20.4% on the +124 odds offered by DraftKings.
Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 30 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 28 | 9 | 4 | 3 |
| Rudy Gobert | 17 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Naz Reid | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+150)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns Over 2.5 3-Pointers | DraftKings Sportsbook | +150 |
- Our best prop bet for the Timberwolves is on Karl-Anthony Towns to record over 2.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 3 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 18.7% on the +150 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 6 Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Nuggets vs. Timberwolves trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Mike Conley Over 1.5 Total Turnovers
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley Over 1.5 Turnovers | Bet365 | -120 |
Mike Conley has recorded more than 1.5 turnovers in 14 of his last 18 appearances (78% of the time). You can put money on him to go over 1.5 turnovers again at odds of -120 (55% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Mike Conley Over 2.5 Total Rebounds
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley Over 2.5 Rebounds | Bet365 | -115 |
Mike Conley has had more than 2.5 rebounds in 11 of his last 13 games (85%). You can place a wager on him to record over 2.5 rebounds again at odds of -115 (53%), also available at Bet365.
Jaden McDaniels Over 0.5 Total Blocks
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels Over 0.5 Blocks | Bet365 | -115 |
Jaden McDaniels has recorded at least one blocks in 8 of his last 11 appearances (73%). You can wager on him to record at least one more again at odds of -140 (58%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Nikola Jokic of the Nuggets to record over 9.5 assists, with a projection of 12 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Timberwolves -2.5 to cover.
In addition to our Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 6 predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA odds for today and insightful NBA expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NBA bets today and dive into our NBA expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NBA betting sites.
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