Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Picks & Best Bets: NBA Game 3 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds

The Minnesota Timberwolves will meet the Denver Nuggets for Game 3 of their conference semifinals series on Friday at Target Center, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET.
The Timberwolves will be led by Anthony Edwards, Karl-Anthony Towns and Rudy Gobert, while the Nuggets are headlined by Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Friday's NBA matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Nuggets vs. Timberwolves bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Timberwolves will likely beat the Nuggets with a projected final score of 105-101.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Nuggets vs Timberwolves Picks
Today's Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Information
- Playoffs Stage: Conference Semifinals Game 3
- Game Date: Friday, May 10th, 2024
- Game Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Target Center
- Spread: Nuggets +3.5 / Timberwolves -3.5
- Moneyline: Nuggets +136 / Timberwolves -154
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 205.5 Points (-110/-108)
Timberwolves -3.5 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Timberwolves -3.5 | FanDuel Sportsbook | -106 |
- According to our simulations, both the Nuggets and Timberwolves have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Timberwolves -3.5 due to FanDuel Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -106.
Total Points Over 205.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Over 205.5 | BetMGM | -110 |
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 205.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis indicates a 53% chance that the total will go over 205.5 points, providing an edge of 0.4%.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 3 Moneyline Odds
Denver Nuggets | Minnesota Timberwolves |
---|---|
+136 via DraftKings Sportsbook | -154 via FanDuel Sportsbook |
The Timberwolves are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 63% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Timberwolves also present the best betting value, with odds of -154 available at FanDuel Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 2.1%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 3
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Friday's Nuggets vs. Timberwolves matchup.
Denver Nuggets Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nikola Jokic | 30 | 14 | 12 | 1 |
Jamal Murray | 23 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
Michael Porter | 21 | 9 | 2 | 4 |
Aaron Gordon | 15 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 Assists (-110)
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 Assists | DraftKings Sportsbook | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Nuggets is on Nikola Jokic to record over 8.5 3-pointers made.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 12 3-pointers made, giving us an edge of 14.0% on the -110 odds offered by DraftKings.
Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Anthony Edwards | 29 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
Karl-Anthony Towns | 27 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
Rudy Gobert | 16 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Jaden McDaniels | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Naz Reid | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+190)
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 2.5 3-Pointers | FanDuel Sportsbook | +190 |
- Our best prop bet for the Timberwolves is on Karl-Anthony Towns to record over 2.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 3 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 23.8% on the +190 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 3 Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Nuggets vs. Timberwolves trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Mike Conley Over 1.5 Total Turnovers
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Mike Conley Over 1.5 Turnovers | Bet365 | -135 |
Mike Conley has recorded more than 1.5 turnovers in 13 of his last 16 appearances (81% success rate). You can wager on him to go over 1.5 turnovers again at odds of -135 (57% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Mike Conley Over 2.5 Total Rebounds
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Mike Conley Over 2.5 Rebounds | FanDuel Sportsbook | -150 |
Mike Conley has had more than 2.5 rebounds in 10 of his last 11 games (91%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 2.5 rebounds again at odds of -150 (60%), available at FanDuel.
Mike Conley Over 10.5 Points Scored
Pick | Operator | Odds |
---|---|---|
Mike Conley Over 10.5 Points Scored | FanDuel Sportsbook | -150 |
Mike Conley has scored more than 10.5 points in 15 of his last 22 appearances (68%). You can bet on him to record over 10.5 points again at odds of -108 (52%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Karl-Anthony Towns of the Timberwolves to put up over 2.5 three-pointers, with a projection of 3 made threes marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Timberwolves -3.5 to cover.
Beyond our Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 3 predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA odds for today and insightful NBA predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NBA best bets and dive into NBA sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online NBA betting sites.
This content is generated with the help of AI and checked and edited by Liam Goodwin.