Nuggets vs. Spurs Picks & Best Bets 4th Jan 2025: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds

The San Antonio Spurs will take on the Denver Nuggets in NBA action on Saturday at Frost Bank Center, tipping off at 8:00 p.m. ET.
Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell and Jeremy Sochan are set to lead the way for the Spurs, while the Nuggets are headlined by Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's NBA matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Nuggets vs. Spurs bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Nuggets will likely defeat the Spurs with a projected final score of 119-116.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Nuggets vs. Spurs Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Nuggets vs. Spurs picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Nuggets vs. Spurs Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, January 4th, 2025
- Game Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Frost Bank Center
- Spread: Nuggets -3.5 / Spurs +3.5
- Moneyline: Nuggets -142 / Spurs +125
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 236 Points (-110/-108)
Nuggets -3.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, both the Nuggets and Spurs have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Nuggets -3.5 based on BetMGM's more favorable odds of -105.
Total Points Under 236 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 236 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -108.
- Our analysis shows a 52% chance that the total will stay under 236 points, providing an edge of 0.2%.
Nuggets vs. Spurs Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Denver Nuggets at -142 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the San Antonio Spurs are available at +125 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Nuggets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 61% chance of prevailing.
Additionally, the Nuggets present the best betting value, with the odds of -142 available at DraftKings Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 2.3%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Nuggets vs. Spurs
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Saturday's Nuggets vs. Spurs game.
Denver Nuggets Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nikola Jokic | 32 | 13 | 12 | 2 |
Jamal Murray | 22 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Michael Porter | 17 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
Christian Braun | 15 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
Russell Westbrook | 15 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists (+118)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +118 |
- Our top prop bet for the Nuggets is on Nikola Jokic to record over 9.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 12 assists, giving us an edge of 18.5% on the +118 odds offered by FanDuel.
San Antonio Spurs Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Victor Wembanyama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 3 |
Devin Vassell | 21 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Jeremy Sochan | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
Keldon Johnson | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Chris Paul | 9 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Stephon Castle Over 2.5 Assists (+100)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Stephon Castle Over 2.5 Assists | BetMGM | Get Offer | +100 |
- Our best prop bet for the Spurs is on Stephon Castle to record over 2.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 4 assists, giving us an edge of 9.3% on the +100 odds offered by BetMGM.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Nuggets vs. Spurs Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Nuggets vs. Spurs trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Victor Wembanyama Over 26.5 Points Scored
Victor Wembanyama has scored more than 26.5 points in 7 of his last 10 games (70% of the time). You can bet on him to score 27+ points again at odds of -115 (53% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Russell Westbrook Over 1.5 Total Steals
Russell Westbrook has had more than 1.5 steals in 14 of his last 21 games (67%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 1.5 steals again at odds of -113 (53%), available at FanDuel.
Michael Porter Jr. Over 2.5 Total Assists
Michael Porter Jr. has had more than 2.5 assists in 13 of his last 25 games (52%). You can bet on him to record over 2.5 assists again at odds of +150 (40%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Nikola Jokic of the Nuggets to record over 9.5 assists, with a projection of 12 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Nuggets -3.5 to cover.
In addition to our Nuggets vs. Spurs predictions, we offer extensive NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA betting odds and insightful NBA predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NBA best bets and dive into our NBA expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online NBA betting sites.