Nuggets vs. Mavericks Picks & Best Bets 12th Jan 2025: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Dallas Mavericks will meet the Denver Nuggets in NBA action on Sunday at American Airlines Center, starting at 3:00 p.m. ET.
The Mavericks will be led by Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington and Jaden Hardy, while the Nuggets are headlined by Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NBA matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Nuggets vs. Mavericks bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Nuggets will likely win with a projected final score of 119-113.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Nuggets vs. Mavericks Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Nuggets vs. Mavericks picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, January 12th, 2025
- Game Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
- Location: American Airlines Center
- Spread: Nuggets -5.5 / Mavericks +5.5
- Moneyline: Nuggets -225 / Mavericks +190
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 232.5 Points (-108/-110)
Nuggets -5.5 @ -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Nuggets and Mavericks have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Nuggets -5.5 based on FanDuel Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -108.
Total Points Over 232.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 232.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -108.
- Our analysis indicates a slightly higher likelihood that the total will go over 232.5 points, which presents greater value compared to betting on the under.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Denver Nuggets at -225 via BetMGM, whilst the Dallas Mavericks are available at +190 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Nuggets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 69% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Nuggets present the best betting value, with the odds of -225 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Nuggets vs. Mavericks
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Sunday's Nuggets vs. Mavericks matchup.
Denver Nuggets Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 30 | 12 | 10 | 3 |
| Jamal Murray | 20 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Michael Porter | 17 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
| Aaron Gordon | 13 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| Russell Westbrook | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
Jamal Murray Over 3.5 Rebounds (+130)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray Over 3.5 Rebounds | BetMGM | Get Offer | +130 |
- Our top prop bet for the Nuggets is on Jamal Murray to record over 3.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 4 rebounds, giving us an edge of 10.9% on the +130 odds offered by BetMGM.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson | 16 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| P.J. Washington | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
| Jaden Hardy | 14 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Quentin Grimes | 13 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 12 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
Quentin Grimes Over 4.5 Rebounds (+134)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Grimes Over 4.5 Rebounds | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +134 |
- Our best prop bet for the Mavericks is on Quentin Grimes to record over 4.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 rebounds, giving us an edge of 8.1% on the +134 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Nuggets vs. Mavericks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Quentin Grimes Over 4.5 Total Rebounds
Quentin Grimes has recorded more than 4.5 rebounds in 10 of his last 16 appearances (62% of the time). You can wager on him to go over 4.5 rebounds again at odds of +134 (43% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Michael Porter Jr. Over 16.5 Points Scored
Michael Porter Jr. has scored more than 16.5 points in 16 of his last 21 appearances (76%). You can make a bet that he'll have over 16.5 points again at odds of -120 (55%), available at DraftKings.
Spencer Dinwiddie Over 2.5 Total Rebounds
Spencer Dinwiddie has had more than 2.5 rebounds in 10 of his last 14 games (71%). You can wager on him to record over 2.5 rebounds again at odds of -148 (60%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jamal Murray of the Nuggets to record over 3.5 rebounds, with a projection of 4 rebounds marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Nuggets -5.5 to cover.
Beyond our Nuggets vs. Mavericks predictions, we offer extensive NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA odds and insightful NBA computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NBA bets tonight and dive into Mark Schindler's NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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