Nuggets vs. Heat Picks & Best Bets 17th Jan 2025: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Miami Heat will meet the Denver Nuggets in NBA action on Friday at Kaseya Center, beginning at 8:00 p.m. ET.
The Heat will be led by Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo, while the Nuggets have Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Friday's NBA matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Nuggets vs. Heat bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Nuggets will likely defeat the Heat with a projected final score of 116-113.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Nuggets vs. Heat Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Nuggets vs. Heat picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Nuggets vs. Heat Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, January 17th, 2025
- Game Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Kaseya Center
- Spread: Nuggets -3.5 / Heat +3.5
- Moneyline: Nuggets -155 / Heat +142
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 229.5 Points (-105/-115)
Nuggets -3.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Nuggets have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Heat have a probability of 49%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -110.
Total Points Under 229.5 @ -115 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 229.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -115.
- Our analysis suggests a 52% probability that the total will stay under 229.5 points.
Nuggets vs. Heat Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Denver Nuggets at -155 via BetMGM, whilst the Miami Heat are available at +142 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Nuggets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 61% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Nuggets also present the best betting value, with the odds of -155 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 2.4%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Nuggets vs. Heat
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Friday's Nuggets vs. Heat matchup.
Denver Nuggets Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 |
| Jamal Murray | 20 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| Michael Porter | 18 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
| Christian Braun | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Russell Westbrook | 12 | 6 | 7 | 1 |
Jamal Murray Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+145)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray Over 2.5 3-Pointers | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +145 |
- Our top prop bet for the Nuggets is on Jamal Murray to record over 2.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 3 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 9.8% on the +145 odds offered by DraftKings.
Miami Heat Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 28 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| Jimmy Butler | 15 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Bam Adebayo | 15 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| Terry Rozier | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Nikola Jovic | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Tyler Herro Over 5.5 Assists (+104)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro Over 5.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +104 |
- Our best prop bet for the Heat is on Tyler Herro to record over 5.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 7 assists, giving us an edge of 8.0% on the +104 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Nuggets vs. Heat Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Nuggets vs. Heat trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Nikola Jokic Over 1.5 Total Steals
Nikola Jokic has recorded more than 1.5 steals in 11 of his last 16 games (69% success rate). You can wager on him to go over 1.5 steals again at odds of +130 (43% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Terry Rozier Over 3.5 Total Rebounds
Terry Rozier has had more than 3.5 rebounds in 12 of his last 19 games (63%). You can place a wager on him to record over 3.5 rebounds again at odds of +132 (43%), available at FanDuel.
Terry Rozier Over 1.5 Total Turnovers
Terry Rozier has had more than 1.5 turnovers in 12 of his last 25 appearances (48%). You can bet on him to record over 1.5 turnovers again at odds of +145 (41%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jamal Murray of the Nuggets to knock down over 2.5 three-pointers, with a projection of 3 made threes marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Nuggets -3.5 to cover.
In addition to our Nuggets vs. Heat predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA odds tonight and insightful NBA expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NBA best bets and dive into Mark Schindler's NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NBA betting sites.
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