Mavericks vs. Wizards Picks & Best Bets 5th Dec 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Washington Wizards will host the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action on Thursday at Capital One Arena, tipping off at 7:00 p.m. ET.
The Wizards will be led by Jordan Poole, Malcolm Brogdon and Alex Sarr, while the Mavericks are headlined by Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and P.J. Washington.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's NBA matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Mavericks vs. Wizards bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Mavericks will likely win with a projected final score of 121-109.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Mavericks vs. Wizards Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Mavericks vs. Wizards picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Mavericks vs. Wizards Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, December 5th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Capital One Arena
- Spread: Mavericks -13.5 / Wizards +13.5
- Moneyline: Mavericks -1000 / Wizards +675
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 231.5 Points (-115/-105)
Wizards +13.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Wizards have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Mavericks have a probability of 44%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -108 for the Wizards +13.5, presenting a favorable 4.2% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 231.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 231.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -105.
- Our analysis shows a slightly higher chance of the 231.5-point total staying under.
Mavericks vs. Wizards Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Dallas Mavericks at -1000 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Washington Wizards are available at +675 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Mavericks are heavily favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them an 84% chance of victory.
Even though the Mavericks are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +675 odds on the Wizards moneyline, providing an edge of 3.1%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Mavericks vs. Wizards
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Thursday's Mavericks vs. Wizards matchup.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 31 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| Kyrie Irving | 23 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| P.J. Washington | 15 | 8 | 3 | 2 |
| Klay Thompson | 15 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Dereck Lively | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Klay Thompson Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+125)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson Over 2.5 3-Pointers | BetMGM | Get Offer | +125 |
- Our top prop bet for the Mavericks is on Klay Thompson to record over 2.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 3 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 12.4% on the +125 odds offered by BetMGM.
Washington Wizards Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Poole | 19 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 16 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Alex Sarr | 14 | 7 | 3 | 2 |
| Jonas Valanciunas | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
Malcolm Brogdon Over 3.5 Rebounds (+115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Brogdon Over 3.5 Rebounds | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Wizards is on Malcolm Brogdon to record over 3.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 4 rebounds, giving us an edge of 7.2% on the +115 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Mavericks vs. Wizards Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Mavericks vs. Wizards trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Dereck Lively II Over 1.5 Total Assists
Dereck Lively II has recorded more than 1.5 assists in 9 of his last 11 appearances (82% of the time). You can bet on him to record 2+ assists again at odds of -170 (63% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Alex Sarr Over 1.5 Total Blocks
Alex Sarr has had more than 1.5 blocks in 11 of his last 19 games (58%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 1.5 blocks again at odds of +128 (44%), available at FanDuel.
Jonas Valanciunas Over 0.5 Total Blocks
Jonas Valanciunas has recorded at least one blocks in 8 of his last 13 games (62%). You can wager on him to record at least one more again at odds of +120 (45%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Klay Thompson of the Mavericks to knock down over 2.5 three-pointers, with a projection of 3 made threes marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Wizards +13.5 to cover.
In addition to our Mavericks vs. Wizards predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA odds for today and insightful NBA expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NBA best bets and dive into Mark Schindler's NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NBA betting sites.
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