Mavericks vs. Warriors Picks & Best Bets 12th Nov 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Golden State Warriors will host the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action on Tuesday at Chase Center, beginning at 10:00 p.m. ET.
The Warriors will be led by Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga and Andrew Wiggins, while the Mavericks will rely on Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and Klay Thompson.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's NBA matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to identify the best Mavericks vs. Warriors bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Warriors will likely beat the Mavericks with a projected final score of 117-115.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Mavericks vs. Warriors Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Mavericks vs. Warriors picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Mavericks vs. Warriors Game Information
- Game Date: Tuesday, November 12th, 2024
- Game Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Center
- Spread: Mavericks +2.5 / Warriors -2.5
- Moneyline: Mavericks +120 / Warriors -142
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 234.5 Points (-115/-105)
Mavericks +2.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Mavericks have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Warriors have a probability of 48%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -105.
Total Points Under 234.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 234.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -105.
- Our analysis shows a 52% chance that the total will stay under 234.5 points, providing an edge of 1%.
Mavericks vs. Warriors Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Dallas Mavericks at +120 via BetMGM, whilst the Golden State Warriors are available at -142 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Warriors are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 57% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Warriors present the best betting value, with the odds of -142 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Mavericks vs. Warriors
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Tuesday's Mavericks vs. Warriors game.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 27 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| Kyrie Irving | 22 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Klay Thompson | 18 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Daniel Gafford | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Naji Marshall | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers (+120)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers | BetMGM | Get Offer | +120 |
- Our top prop bet for the Mavericks is on Luka Doncic to record over 3.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 4 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 10.3% on the +120 odds offered by BetMGM.
Golden State Warriors Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 26 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Buddy Hield | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Draymond Green Over 5.5 Assists (+104)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green Over 5.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +104 |
- Our best prop bet for the Warriors is on Draymond Green to record over 5.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 8 assists, giving us an edge of 13.8% on the +104 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Mavericks vs. Warriors Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Mavericks vs. Warriors trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Stephen Curry Over 0.5 Total Steals
Stephen Curry has recorded at least one steal in 9 of his last 10 appearances (90% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of -158 (61% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Klay Thompson Over 1.5 Total Assists
Klay Thompson has had more than 1.5 assists in 17 of his last 24 games (71%). You can place a wager on him to record over 1.5 assists again at odds of -115 (53%), available at Bet365.
Andrew Wiggins Over 0.5 Total Blocks
Andrew Wiggins has recorded at least one blocks in 13 of his last 22 games (59%). You can bet on him to record at least one more again at odds of +135 (43%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Draymond Green of the Warriors to record over 5.5 assists, with a projection of 8 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Mavericks +2.5 to cover.
In addition to our Mavericks vs. Warriors predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA betting odds and insightful NBA computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NBA best bets and dive into our NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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