Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Picks & Best Bets: NBA Game 1 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Minnesota Timberwolves will face the Dallas Mavericks for Game 1 of the Western conference finals on Wednesday at Target Center, beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET.
Anthony Edwards, Karl-Anthony Towns and Rudy Gobert are expected to lead the way for the Timberwolves, while the Mavericks are headlined by Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and P.J. Washington.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's NBA matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Mavericks vs. Timberwolves bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Timberwolves will likely beat the Mavericks with a projected final score of 105-101.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game 1 Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Mavericks vs. Timberwolves picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game Information
- Playoffs Stage: Western Conference Finals Game 1
- Game Date: Wednesday, May 22nd, 2024
- Game Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Target Center
- Spread: Mavericks +4.5 / Timberwolves -4.5
- Moneyline: Mavericks +160 / Timberwolves -190
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 206.5 Points (-110/-105)
Timberwolves -4.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves -4.5 | BetMGM | -110 |
- According to our simulations, both the Mavericks and Timberwolves have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Timberwolves -4.5 because of BetMGM's more favorable odds of -110.
Total Points Over 206.5 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 206.5 | DraftKings Sportsbook | -110 |
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 206.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of the 206.5-point total going over.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game 1 Moneyline Odds
| Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves |
|---|---|
| +160 via DraftKings Sportsbook | -190 via BetMGM |
The Timberwolves are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 66% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Timberwolves also present the best betting value, with odds of -190 available at BetMGM for an edge of 0.4%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game 1
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Wednesday's Mavericks vs. Timberwolves matchup.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 34 | 10 | 11 | 4 |
| Kyrie Irving | 27 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| P.J. Washington | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Dereck Lively | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Daniel Gafford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
Luka Doncic Over 8.5 Assists (-106)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic Over 8.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | -106 |
- Our top prop bet for the Mavericks is on Luka Doncic to record over 8.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 11 assists, giving us an edge of 11.0% on the -106 odds offered by FanDuel.
Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 30 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 25 | 8 | 3 | 3 |
| Rudy Gobert | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| Mike Conley | 14 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 20.5 Points Scored (-105)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns Over 20.5 Points Scored | BetMGM | -105 |
- Our best prop bet for the Timberwolves is on Karl-Anthony Towns to score over 20.5 points.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 25 points, giving us an edge of 7.5% on the -105 odds offered by BetMGM.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game 1 Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Mavericks vs. Timberwolves trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Luka Doncic Over 8.5 Total Rebounds
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic Over 8.5 Rebounds | Bet365 | -125 |
Luka Doncic has recorded more than 8.5 rebounds in 20 of his last 25 games (80% of the time). You can bet on him to record 9+ rebounds again at odds of -125 (56% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Luka Doncic Over 8.5 Total Assists
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic Over 8.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | -106 |
Luka Doncic has had more than 8.5 assists in 14 of his last 19 games (74%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 8.5 assists again at odds of -106 (51%), available at FanDuel.
Anthony Edwards Over 1.5 Total Steals
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards Over 1.5 Steals | FanDuel Sportsbook | +106 |
Anthony Edwards has had more than 1.5 steals in 8 of his last 13 appearances (62%). You can wager on him to record over 1.5 steals again at odds of +102 (50%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luka Doncic of the Mavericks to record over 8.5 assists, with a projection of 11 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Timberwolves -4.5 to cover.
Beyond our Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game 1 predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA odds and insightful NBA expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NBA bets tonight and dive into Mark Schindler's NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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