Mavericks vs. Thunder Picks & Best Bets: NBA Game 5 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Oklahoma City Thunder will go up against the Dallas Mavericks for Game 5 of their conference semifinals series on Wednesday at Paycom Center, beginning at 9:30 p.m. ET.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren are set to lead the way for the Thunder, while the Mavericks will rely on Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and P.J. Washington.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's NBA matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Mavericks vs. Thunder bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Thunder will likely beat the Mavericks with a projected final score of 108-103.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Mavericks vs. Thunder Game 5 Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Mavericks vs. Thunder picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Mavericks vs. Thunder Game Information
- Playoffs Stage: Conference Semifinals Game 5
- Game Date: Wednesday, May 15th, 2024
- Game Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycom Center
- Spread: Mavericks +4.5 / Thunder -4.5
- Moneyline: Mavericks +165 / Thunder -185
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 213.5 Points (-110/-110)
Thunder -4.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Thunder -4.5 | BetMGM | -110 |
- According to our simulations, the Thunder have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Mavericks have a probability of 49%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -110.
Total Points Under 213.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 213.5 | BetMGM | -110 |
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 213.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis suggests a 52% chance of the 213.5-point total staying under.
Mavericks vs. Thunder Game 5 Moneyline Odds
| Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder |
|---|---|
| +165 via BetMGM | -185 via DraftKings Sportsbook |
The Thunder are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 66% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Thunder also present the best betting value, with odds of -185 available at DraftKings Sportsbook for an edge of 1.6%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Mavericks vs. Thunder Game 5
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Wednesday's Mavericks vs. Thunder game.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 32 | 11 | 10 | 4 |
| Kyrie Irving | 26 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| P.J. Washington | 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| Daniel Gafford | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Dereck Lively | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Kyrie Irving Over 2.5 3-Pointers (-110)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving Over 2.5 3-Pointers | DraftKings Sportsbook | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Mavericks is on Kyrie Irving to record over 2.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 4 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 9.8% on the -110 odds offered by DraftKings.
Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 33 | 7 | 8 | 2 |
| Jalen Williams | 23 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| Chet Holmgren | 21 | 10 | 4 | 2 |
| Luguentz Dort | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Luguentz Dort Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+142)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort Over 2.5 3-Pointers | FanDuel Sportsbook | +142 |
- Our best prop bet for the Thunder is on Luguentz Dort to record over 2.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 3 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 12.6% on the +142 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Mavericks vs. Thunder Game 5 Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Mavericks vs. Thunder trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Kyrie Irving Over 1.5 Total Steals
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving Over 1.5 Steals | FanDuel Sportsbook | +110 |
Kyrie Irving has recorded more than 1.5 steals in 16 of his last 24 appearances (67% of the time). You can wager on him to go over 1.5 steals again at odds of +110 (48% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Kyrie Irving Over 21.5 Points Scored
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving Over 21.5 Points Scored | Bet365 | -115 |
Kyrie Irving has scored more than 21.5 points in 18 of his last 25 games (72%). You can make a bet that he'll have over 21.5 points again at odds of -115 (53%), available at Bet365.
P.J. Washington Over 0.5 Total Blocks
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington Over 0.5 Blocks | FanDuel Sportsbook | -115 |
P.J. Washington has recorded at least one blocks in 14 of his last 19 appearances (74%). You can wager on him to record at least one more again at odds of -142 (59%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luguentz Dort of the Thunder to put up over 2.5 three-pointers, with a projection of 3 made threes marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Thunder -4.5 to cover.
In addition to our Mavericks vs. Thunder Game 5 predictions, we offer extensive NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA betting odds and insightful NBA predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NBA bets and dive into Mark Schindler's NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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