Mavericks vs. Thunder Picks & Best Bets 23rd Jan 2025: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds

The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action on Thursday at Paycom Center, tipping off at 8:00 p.m. ET.
The Thunder will be led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Aaron Wiggins, while the Mavericks are headlined by Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford and Quentin Grimes.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Thursday's NBA matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Mavericks vs. Thunder bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Thunder will likely win with a projected final score of 117-106.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Mavericks vs. Thunder picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Mavericks vs. Thunder Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, January 23rd, 2025
- Game Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycom Center
- Spread: Mavericks +12 / Thunder -12
- Moneyline: Mavericks +520 / Thunder -650
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 223.5 Points (-115/-105)
Mavericks +12 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Mavericks have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the Thunder have a probability of 46%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -106 for the Mavericks +12, providing a favorable 3% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 223.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 223.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -105.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% probability of the 223.5-point total staying under.
Mavericks vs. Thunder Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Dallas Mavericks at +520 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Oklahoma City Thunder are available at -650 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Thunder are heavily favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them an 82% chance of victory.
Even though the Thunder are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +520 odds on the Mavericks moneyline, providing an edge of 1.9%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Mavericks vs. Thunder
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Thursday's Mavericks vs. Thunder game.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kyrie Irving | 23 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Daniel Gafford | 16 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Quentin Grimes | 13 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
P.J. Washington | 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 |
Spencer Dinwiddie | 12 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Spencer Dinwiddie Over 3.5 Rebounds (+125)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Spencer Dinwiddie Over 3.5 Rebounds | BetMGM | Get Offer | +125 |
- Our top prop bet for the Mavericks is on Spencer Dinwiddie to record over 3.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 4 rebounds, giving us an edge of 9.3% on the +125 odds offered by BetMGM.
Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
Jalen Williams | 21 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
Aaron Wiggins | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Luguentz Dort | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Jaylin Williams | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
Luguentz Dort Over 4.5 Rebounds (+120)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Luguentz Dort Over 4.5 Rebounds | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +120 |
- Our best prop bet for the Thunder is on Luguentz Dort to record over 4.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 rebounds, giving us an edge of 5.3% on the +120 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Mavericks vs. Thunder trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Jalen Williams Over 4.5 Total Assists
Jalen Williams has recorded more than 4.5 assists in 10 of his last 13 appearances (77% of the time). You can wager on him to go over 4.5 assists again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Spencer Dinwiddie Over 3.5 Total Rebounds
Spencer Dinwiddie has had more than 3.5 rebounds in 6 of his last 10 appearances (60%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 3.5 rebounds again at odds of +130 (43%), available at DraftKings.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 Points Scored
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored more than 31.5 points in 8 of his last 12 games (67%). You can wager on him to record over 31.5 points again at odds of -115 (53%), available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Spencer Dinwiddie of the Mavericks to record over 3.5 rebounds, with a projection of 4 rebounds marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Mavericks +12 to cover.
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